Week 18 Free Betting Pick: Seattle Seahawks vs. Philadelphia Eagles

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The Seattle Seahawks are narrow favorites against the Philadelphia Eagles in the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs. This late afternoon game kicks off at 4:40 p.m. ET and fans can catch it live by tuning in to NBC.

Betting Preview: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks

Philadelphia is entering this NFC matchup as the underdog and is currently receiving 1 point. The Seahawks are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Eagles are -105. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 46 points, and if one team can catch a lucky break early, it would likely lead to a decent live betting opportunity.

The line has recently moved up from -1 to where it stands now (1). The game’s total has yet to change after it was initially posted at 46.

The Seahawks have gained 2.5 units so far and are 7-7-2 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U record of 8-7-1.

The Eagles have lost 2.1 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 7-9 ATS and own an even O/U record of 8-8.

The Seahawks have gone 11-5 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Eagles are 9-7 SU.

Seattle enters this one on a four-game winning streak while Philadelphia has lost each of its last two. The Seahawks hope to get back in stride after a 26-21 loss to San Francisco in Week 17. Russell Wilson completed 25 passes for 233 yards and two touchdowns. Marshawn Lynch (just 34 yards on 12 rush attempts, one TD) and Travis Homer (62 yards on 10 carries) led the ground attack while Tyler Lockett (six receptions, 51 yards, one TD) and DK Metcalf (six catches, 81 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.

Philadelphia is coming off of a 34-17 win over the Giants in Week 17. The defense let the Giants pass for 301 yards while rushing for 122 yards. Saquon Barkley was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 92 rushing yards and a score on 17 attempts for New York. For Philadelphia, Carson Wentz completed 23-of-40 passes for 289 yards and one touchdown. Boston Scott (54 rushing yards on 19 attempts, three TDs) and Miles Sanders (52 yards on nine carries) handled the running game as Greg Ward (six receptions, 43 yards) and Scott (four catches, 84 yards) led the receiving attack in the win.

Seattle has run the ball on 48.2 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Philadelphia has a rush percentage of 42.5 percent. The Seahawks have produced 137.5 rush yards per game and have 15 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Eagles are averaging 121.2 rush yards per game and have 16 total rushing TDs.

It seems like the Eagles ought to own the edge when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has yielded only 37 sacks while the D-line has registered 43 sacks. The Seahawks offensive line has given up 48 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss just 28 times.

The Seahawks offense has logged 256.9 yards per contest through the air overall and has 31 passing TDs so far. The Eagles have recorded 253.9 pass yards per game and have 27 total pass scores.

On the defensive side of the ball, Seattle has allowed 117.7 rush yards and 275.4 pass yards per game. The Philadelphia D has allowed 258.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 90.1 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Seahawks have given up an ANY/A of 6.20 to opposing QBs, while the Eagles are allowing an ANY/A of 6.37.

Wentz has connected on 357-of-567 passes for 3,720 yards, 26 TDs and seven INTs for Philadelphia. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.14 for the year and 7.71 over his last two games. In the other locker room, Wilson has amassed 3,941 passing yards this season. He’s connected on 325-of-485 attempts with 30 passing touchdowns and only five interceptions. Wilson’s got a 7.64 ANY/A for the year, though that number is 5.40 over the past two games.

Seattle Seahawks vs. Philadelphia Eagles Free NFL Pick

SU Winner: Eagles, ATS Winner: Seahawks, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • The Philadelphia defensive unit has produced 43 sacks on the year while Seattle has just 28.
  • The Philadelphia offense has lost 15 fumbles this season while Seattle has let 14 get away.
  • The Seahawks offense has produced 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Eagles have accounted for six such plays.
  • The Seattle defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Philadelphia has given up 14 such plays.
  • The Seattle offense has created 12 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Philadelphia has created seven such runs.
  • The Seahawks defense has allowed 12 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Eagles have given up 10 such runs.
  • The Over/Under for Philadelphia’s previous game was set at 44.5. The over cashed in the team’s 34-17 victory over the Giants.
  • Over its last three games, Philadelphia is 3-0 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • Over its last three matches, Seattle is 0-2-1 ATS.
  • Seattle has lost four of its last five games SU, with a six-point win over Carolina on December 15th representing the only victory over that stretch.
  • The O/U for Seattle’s last game was set at 47. The O/U pushed in the team’s 26-21 defeat to San Francisco.
  • As a team, Seattle has rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 4.3 over its last two.
  • Philadelphia has averaged 4.4 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 3.9 over its last two.