Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers: 10/6/2018 Free Betting Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, College Football, Football

The Washington State Cougars (-16) are making a trip east to visit their conference rival Oregon State Beavers at Reser Stadium. Pac-12 Networks has the TV rights and kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers

Oregon State is entering this Pac-12 game as a significant underdog and is currently getting 16 points. In order to take the favorite, moneyline bettors would currently have to put down $1,000 to win $100 back on the Cougars (-1000). The Beavers are getting +625 moneyline odds. If one team can create a bunch of points early it would create a nice in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 61.5 points.

The game’s total has shifted downward after opening at 62.5. The original line (16) has remained consistent.

The Cougars are 5-0 against the spread (ATS) and have recorded 1.0 unit so far. The team has posted an O/U mark of 3-1.

The Beavers have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 2-3 ATS and has an O/U record of 4-1.

The Cougars are 4-1 straight up (SU), including 1-1 SU against conference opponents. The Beavers are 1-4 SU overall and are also 0-2 SU in conference play.

The Cougars just got a 28-24 victory over Utah last week where Gardner Minshew II completed just 31 passes on 56 attempts for 445 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Kyle Sweet (six receptions, 59 yards) and Dezmon Patmon (five catches, 112 yards, one TD) shared the receiving duties in the win.

One week ago, Arizona State knocked off this Oregon State crew by a score of 52-24. Conor Blount completed 14-of-23 passes for 145 yards and one touchdown. Jermar Jefferson (254 rushing yards on 31 attempts, two TDs) and Kase Rogers (27 yards on 11 carries) mounted the running game as Timmy Hernandez (seven receptions, 61 yards) and Kolby Taylor (two catches, 16 yards) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Washington State’s run the ball on 26.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oregon State has a rush percentage of 57.9 percent. The Cougars have produced 66.2 rush yards per game (including 45.5 per game versus Pac-12 opponents) and have 10 scores on the ground this year. The Beavers are averaging 199.0 rush yards per game (179.0 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.

If 2018 results are any indication, then it seems like the Cougars could own the edge in the trenches. Their offensive line has allowed just 44 sacks while their D-line logged 37 sacks. The Beavers, on the other hand, have given up 18 sacks and their defense has forced only 14 sacks.

The Cougars offense has averaged a stout 410.4 yards through the air overall (394.5 per game against conference opposition) and has 15 passing scores so far. The Beavers have recorded 246.0 pass yards per game (143 against Pac-12 competition) and have eight total pass TDs.

Washington State seems to have an advantage in both areas of the defense. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 121.2 yards and pass for 151.4 yards per game. The Oregon State defense has allowed 240.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 303.4 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cougars are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.66 to opponents, while the Beavers have given up an 8.19 ANY/A.

Blount has connected on 53-of-84 passes for 715 yards, five TDs and one INT for Oregon State. His adjusted net yards per pass attempt stands at 6.97 for the season and 5.73 over his past two outings. In the other locker room, Minshew II has already amassed 1,648 passing yards this season. He’s completed 148-of-221 attempts with 11 passing touchdowns and four interceptions. Minshew II has a 7.36 ANY/A, including 7.60 over the last two outings.

When these two schools met a year ago, Washington State knocked off Oregon State soundly 52-23.

Washington State Cougars vs. Oregon State Beavers Bedding Prediction

SU Winner: Washington State, ATS Winner: Washington State, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • Washington State was getting one point in its last game and the O/U was set at 50.5. The over cashed and Washington State covered in the 28-24 win over Utah.
  • Washington State has averaged 2.53846153846154 yards per carry over its past three contests and 2.5 over its last two.
  • Oregon State has averaged 3.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 3.7 over its last two.
  • Oregon State has lost five fumbles this season while Washington State has lost one.
  • Oregon State was favored by 22 points in its last outing and the Over/Under was set at 64.5. The over cashed and Oregon State did not cover in the team’s 52-24 defeat to Arizona State.
  • In its last three games, Oregon State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Cougars offense has tallied three pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Beavers have accounted for four such plays.
  • Both defenses have allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more. The Washington State defense has given up seven pass plays of 30+ yards while Oregon State has permitted six such plays.
  • The Washington State offense has created zero rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Oregon State has created 15 such runs.
  • The Cougars defense has allowed seven rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Beavers have given up 19 such runs.
  • The Washington State D has sacked opposing QBs 14 times this year. Oregon State has recorded just five sacks.