Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets Free Pick

Victor TrejosArticles, Baseball, MLB, Uncategorized

The New York Mets will play their divisional rival Washington Nationals at Nationals Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the action.

New York Mets at Washington Nationals Odds

Washington (+130) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at eight runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at +105 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -125 for the Nationals +1.5.

The Mets have gone 71-82 SU this year and are 75-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 13.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 8.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 77-76 SU and 72-80 ATS. The team’s lost 23.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven.

Nationals games have an over/under record of 70-79-3 in 2018. Mets games have gone under 76 times, gone over 66 times and pushed on nine occasions.

Right-hander Jacob deGrom will get the start for New York. deGrom is 8-9 with a 1.78 ERA and 251 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against Washington this year (two starts).

The Nationals are putting the ball in the hands of righty Joe Ross (0-0, 3.60 ERA), who has zero strikeouts and two walks, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Ross has yet to face the Mets this year, but he made three starts against them in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record with a 4.76 ERA and 15 strikeouts.

New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.94, along with a K/9 of 8.51.

The Mets offense has slashed .236/.314/.393 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

New York’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. The speedy Rosario is slashing .263/.300/.394 with nine home runs, 49 RBIs, 73 runs and 21 stolen bases, while Conforto is hitting .239 with 27 homers, 77 RBIs and 73 runs scored.

For the home team, Washington’s pitching staff has allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.05, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 70 divisional games, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.28 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.27.

The Washington hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .240/.370/.363 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led the Nationals’ offense this year. Turner is hitting .268/.340/.402 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs, 96 runs and 40 stolen bases, and Rendon’s line is .304/.369/.522 with 22 homers, 82 RBIs and 82 runs.

The Mets have lost 6.2 units and are 55-55 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 54 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 7.3 units and are 54-57 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 59 that’ve gone under.

New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • New York has tallied 14 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Washington has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • New York has posted 21.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.6 over its last five.
  • The Mets have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 13 over their last 10.