Washington Nationals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals will be facing off against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Vegas is listing Washington (+115) as the underdog to Milwaukee (-125). Gamblers can bet on the games total with odds sitting at -115 for over 9 runs and -105 for under 9. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds coming in at Nationals +1.5 runs (-180) and Brewers -1.5 runs (+160).

The Brewers are 58-45 straight up (SU) and 53-49 against the spread (ATS). The teams gained 9.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.1 units (ATS). Milwaukee has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals are 49-51 SU and have gone 45-54 ATS. In total, the teams lost 19.7 units for moneyline bettors and 12.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

Milwaukee games have had an over/under record of 45-54-3 in 2018. Washington has also been a solid under bet with a total record of 40-57-2.

Right-hander Tanner Roark is projected to start for the visiting Nationals. Roark is 3-12 with a 4.87 ERA and 98 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-1, 1.29 ERA and 10 strikeouts across seven innings).

The Brewers are handing the ball to Freddy Peralta (4-1, 2.65 ERA), who has 50 strikeouts and 18 walks, as well as a 0.96 WHIP. Peralta did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.10 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.62, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

Nationals hitters have slashed .244/.323/.402 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Washington’s hitters have been paced by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who collectively have belted 27 home runs. Turner is slashing .263/.338/.401 with 12 home runs, 40 RBIs, 56 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .288 with 15 homers, 47 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

For the home team, Milwaukee’s pitchers have given up 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have an ERA of 3.79, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.34 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.2 K/9.

The Milwaukee offense has produced 4.3 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The teams hit .247/.324/.380 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Christian Yelich and Lorenzo Cain have paced the Brewers offense this year. Yelich is slashing .308/.376/.500 with 13 home runs, 52 RBIs, 63 runs and 13 steals, while Cain’s line is .298/.395/.423 with eight homers, 28 RBIs, 52 runs and 18 stolen bases.

The Brewers have gained 10.2 units and are 43-36 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 44 that’ve gone under against righty starters.

Washington Nationals at Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have dropped three of their last four games SU.
  • The Washington defense has allowed zero errors over its last five games, compared to six errors for Milwaukee over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit seven over their last 10.