Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Matchup

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Adam Eaton and the Washington Nationals will head south to take on their NL East nemesis Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Sportsbooks have Washington (-200) as the favorite over Miami (+185). If you’re thinking the game’s total is going to go under 7.5 runs, then Vegas is putting up -125 odds. Taking the over give you +105 odds. This game currently has a runline of Nationals -1.5 (-140) and Marlins +1.5 (+120).

The Nationals have gone 37-40 SU this year and are 39-38 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 14.1 units for moneyline bettors and 1.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 30-46 SU and 38-38 ATS. The team has gained 2.3 units for moneyline bettors while earning 8.6 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 34-39-3 so far in 2019. Washington has been a decent over bet with a total record of 39-33-5.

Max Scherzer will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Scherzer is 6-5 with a 2.62 ERA and 146 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 5.56 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).

The Marlins are planning to start righty Trevor Richards (3-7, 3.54 ERA), who’s got 77 punchouts and 36 walks as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Richards is 0-1 with seven strikeouts and a 4.26 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.76 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 6.29, along with a WHIP of 1.22 and a K-per-9 of 9.18.

Nationals hitters have slashed .254/.329/.436 on their way to 5.0 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto have led Washington’s offense. Eaton is hitting .274/.360/.388 with six home runs, 19 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Soto (.305/.399/.534) has produced 12 homers, 48 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the home team, Miami’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.71, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.2. The bullpen has a 5.10 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 34 divisional games, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.53 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.22.

The Miami offense has produced 3.5 runs per contest, including 3.4 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .246/.303/.421 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ offense has been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .254/.337/.415 with 10 home runs, 34 RBIs and 27 runs scored, and Castro’s line is .238/.268/.321 with five homers, 32 RBIs and 21 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 8.7 units and are 30-27 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Marlins have netted 2.3 units and are 27-30 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 23 of those games, compared to 32 that went under the total.

Nationals at Marlins MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven games.
  • Washington has recorded 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 22.2 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 18 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • The Nationals have a team OPS of .765 this season and an OPS of .728 against right-handed pitchers. The Marlins’ OPS sits at .653 overall and .652 against righties.