The Washington Nationals are set to take on their division rival Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 1:10 p.m. ET.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds
Washington (-190) is favored against Miami (+180) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The games most recent runline odds sit at -135 for betting the Nationals -1.5 runs and +115 for the Marlins +1.5 runs.
The Nationals have gone 28-22 SU this year and are 24-25 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.3 units for moneyline bettors and 0.1 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 19-32 SU and 26-24 ATS. The team has lost 0.3 units for moneyline bettors and 2.8 units ATS. Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Marlins games have a 24-26 over/under record so far in 2018. Washington has an over/under record of 22-25-2.
Stephen Strasburg will get the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Strasburg is 5-4 with a 3.36 ERA and 75 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Miami this year. He made three starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 3-0 record with a 0.82 ERA and 19 strikeouts.
The Marlins are planning to start Elieser Hernandez (0-1, 2.08 ERA), who’s got six strikeouts and one walks to his name, as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Hernandez did not pitch in the majors in 2017.
Miami’s pitching staff has yielded 5.2 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starters have a 4.36 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 7.8 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.74 ERA, 1.59 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 21 games against divisional opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.09 and the bullpens ERA is 7.07.
The Miami offense is putting up 3.4 runs per contest, including 3.2 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .227/.300/.320 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Marlins batters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is slashing .291/.332/.383 with 57 hits, 21 RBIs and 28 runs scored, while Anderson’s line is .282/.366/.388 with 53 hits, 23 RBIs and 27 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .262/.337/.369, Anderson appeared to enjoy facing righty pitching at home last year, hitting .303/.425/.455 across 40 plate appearances.
In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starters own a 2.98 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 9.98 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.05.
The Nationals offense has slashed .239/.326/.408 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).
Washington’s offensive production been led by shortstop Trea Turner and second baseman Howie Kendrick, who’ve collectively launched 10 home runs. Turner is hitting .271/.364/.422 with six home runs, 21 RBIs, 29 runs and 14 steals, while Kendrick (.303/.331/.474) has produced four homers, 12 RBIs and 17 runs scored.
The Marlins have gained 1.1 units and are 19-18 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under.
Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Free Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER
- The Nationals have won four of their last five games SU.
- Washington has posted 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.0 over its last five.
- The Nationals have hit 15 home runs in their last 10 games, including 10 over their last five.