Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals will face their NL East foe Atlanta Braves at SunTrust Park. The game gets underway 1:35 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will showcase the matchup.

Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves Odds

Washington (+125) is entering this game as the underdog against Atlanta (-135) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this day game at 9 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at Nationals +1.5 runs (-170) and Braves -1.5 runs (+150).

The Braves are 83-65 straight up (SU) and 76-70 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 21.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.2 units (ATS). The Nationals, on the other hand, have gone 75-74 SU this year and are 69-79 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 25.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 13.6 units ATS.

Braves games have an over/under record of 69-71-6 in 2018. Washington has been a decent under bet with a total record of 68-77-3.

Tanner Roark is getting the start for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Roark is 8-15 with a 4.37 ERA and 143 strikeouts. He’s 1-2 with nine strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Atlanta this year (two starts).

The Braves are putting the ball in the hands of lefty Sean Newcomb (12-8, 3.82 ERA), who’s got 148 punchouts and 74 walks, as well as a 1.31 WHIP. Newcomb is 1-1 with 14 strikeouts and a 4.15 ERA across three starts against Washington this year.

Atlanta’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.49 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.08 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.9 K/9. In 65 divisional games, Braves starters have an ERA of 3.02 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.98.

Atlanta’s hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .242/.337/.366 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that span.

Right fielder Nick Markakis and first baseman Freddie Freeman have led the way for the Braves’ hitters this year. Markakis is slashing .306/.372/.455 with 14 home runs, 91 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Freeman’s line sits at .304/.385/.496 with 21 homers, 87 RBIs and 90 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.89, along with a K/9 of 8.44.

The Nationals offense has slashed .252/.333/.415 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Washington’s offensive production has been powered by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon, who’ve collectively swatted 36 home runs. The speedy Turner is slashing .267/.338/.405 with 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, 91 runs and 39 stolen bases, while Rendon (.296/.362/.503) is up to 19 homers, 73 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 17.1 units and are 17-23 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has cashed in 19 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Braves have netted 23.1 units and are 58-45 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 47 of those games, as opposed to 51 that’ve cashed the under.

Washington Nationals at Atlanta Braves Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Braves, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The under has hit in three of Atlanta’s last seven games.
  • Atlanta has posted 23.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 outings.