Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals will square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field. This NL matchup can be viewed across the country on ESPN and the game gets underway 8:08 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks Odds

Arizona (-120) is the favorite over Washington (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this afternoons game at 8 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Gamblers can also wager on the games runline with the current odds sitting at -190 for the Nationals +1.5 runs and +165 for the Diamondbacks -1.5.

The Diamondbacks are 24-15 SU and 20-18 ATS. The teams gained 12.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.4 units against the spread (ATS). Arizona has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven. The Nationals are 23-18 SU and have gone 21-19 ATS. In total, the teams lost 2.6 units for moneyline gamblers in the seasons early going, but have gained 3.0 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.

Diamondbacks games have an over/under record of 16-20-2 so far in 2018. Nationals games have gone under 21 times, gone over 17 times and pushed on two occasions.

Jeremy Hellickson will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. The right-handed Hellickson is 1-0 with a 2.28 ERA and 21 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with a 3.38 ERA against Arizona this year.

The Diamondbacks will turn to righty Zack Godley (4-2, 3.83 ERA), who’s got 37 strikeouts and 18 walks as well as a 1.45 WHIP. Godley is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

As a unit, Arizona’s pitching staff has given up 3.3 runs per game overall in 2018. The clubs starting pitching staff has a 3.57 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.33, a WHIP of 1.06 and a K/9 of 8.1.

The Arizona hitters have produced 4.1 runs per outing, including 2.4 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .208/.271/.339 over its last five games and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Diamondbacks offense has been led by outfielders A.J. Pollock and David Peralta. Pollock is hitting .296/.354/.641 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 23 runs and eight stolen bases, and Peralta’s line sits at .300/.387/.515 with seven homers, 20 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 3.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.93 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.34, along with a K-per-9 of 9.58.

Nationals hitters have slashed .240/.333/.401 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 3.6 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Bryce Harper and Matt Adams have led Washington’s hitters. Harper is slashing .237/.406/.533 with 12 home runs, 29 RBIs and 29 runs scored, while Adams (.275/.394/.648) has produced 10 homers, 25 RBIs and 18 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .319/.438/.681 across 176 such plate appearances, Harper enjoyed batting against righties on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .317/.411/.596).

The Nationals have gained 5.0 units and are 15-12 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Diamondbacks have netted 3.9 units and are 10-11 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in nine of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.

Washington Nationals at Arizona Diamondbacks Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Diamondbacks, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • Arizona has posted 14.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.0 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks have hit seven over their last 10.