Washington Nationals at San Diego Padres Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres are playing host to the Washington Nationals at PETCO Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to televise this NL matchup.

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres Odds

Washington (-130) is entering this game as the favorite against San Diego (+120) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The games current runline odds sit at +115 for betting the Nationals -1.5 runs and -135 for the Padres +1.5 runs.

The Nationals are 19-17 SU and have gone 17-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.5 units for moneyline bettors in this young season and 0.3 units ATS. The Padres, on the other hand, are 13-23 SU and 15-20 ATS. The team has lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.6 units ATS.

San Diego games have a 16-17-2 over/under record so far in 2018. The Nationals have an over/under record of 16-17-2.

Jeremy Hellickson is getting the start for Washington. The right-handed Hellickson is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 13 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Padres are sending lefty Clayton Richard (1-4, 6.21 ERA) to the mound. Richard has 32 strikeouts and 20 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.73. Richard only made one start against the Nationals in 2017 (0-1, 4.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 5.1 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 5.36 ERA, 1.64 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.38 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.8 K/9.

The San Diego hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.2 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .234/.326/.377 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Eric Hosmer has helped lead the Padres offense this season with five home runs, 12 RBIs and 18 runs scored. Hosmer enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitchers at home last season. Across 221 such plate appearances, he slashed .354/.439/.615 (compared to his overall season line of .318/.385/.498).

In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.22 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 10.06 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.77, along with a WHIP of 1.10 and a K/9 of 9.79.

The Nationals offense has slashed .241/.339/.408 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.8 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Washington’s offense has been spearheaded by Bryce Harper, who is slashing .237/.420/.559 with 12 home runs, 28 RBIs and 29 runs scored. He didn’t seem to enjoy hitting against lefties in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .311/.357/.445 across 129 plate appearances (his overall season line was .317/.411/.596).

The Nationals just took the previous game in this series by a score of eight runs to five.

Washington Nationals vs. San Diego Padres MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in four of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have hit 20 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit nine over their last 10.
  • Washington has recorded 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 16.8 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have won eight of their last nine games SU.