Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals Free Pick

Posts AdminArticles, Baseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals are set to host the Washington Nationals at Busch Stadium. Fox Sports Midwest will televise this NL matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:45 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Odds

St. Louis (+115) is heading into this one as an underdog to Washington (-125) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at +105 for the over and -125 for the under. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +120 for the Nationals -1.5 runs and -140 for the Cardinals +1.5.

The Cardinals are 84-66 straight up (SU) and 78-71 against the spread (ATS). The team has gained 2.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.8 units ATS. St. Louis has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the under has cashed in four of those seven. The Nationals have gone 82-67 SU this year and are 82-66 ATS. Overall, the club has lost 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 11.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Cardinals games have an over/under record of 60-78-11 in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 70-71-7.

The left-handed Patrick Corbin will get the nod for the visiting Nationals. Corbin (12-7, 3.20 ERA) has racked up 213 strikeouts in 185.2 innings so far. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 10.80 ERA against St. Louis this year.

The Cardinals will turn to righty Miles Mikolas (9-13, 4.28 ERA), who’s got 136 strikeouts and 30 walks, in addition to a 1.22 WHIP. Mikolas is 1-0 with four strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

St. Louis’ pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The team’s starters have a 3.84 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.73 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.

The St. Louis hitters are putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over its last 10 games and 6.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .225/.337/.513 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Cardinals’ batters have been led by first baseman Paul Goldschmidt and second baseman Kolten Wong. Goldschmidt is slashing .258/.343/.469 with 31 home runs, 89 RBIs and 88 runs scored, while Wong is hitting .285 with 11 homers, 59 RBIs, 61 runs and 23 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.59 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.91, along with a WHIP of 1.20 and a K-per-9 of 9.08.

The Nationals offense has slashed .263/.341/.453 on its way to 5.3 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Anthony Rendon and left fielder Juan Soto have paced Washington’s hitters. Rendon is hitting .333/.417/.629 with 34 home runs, 119 RBIs and 113 runs scored, while Soto (.294/.405/.572) has produced 34 homers, 105 RBIs and 103 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 3.5 units and are 60-49 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 54 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Cardinals have lost 1.5 units and are 13-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 10 that went under.

Nationals at Cardinals Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Washington has logged 16 extra-base hits over its last five contests. St. Louis has 20 XBH over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Cardinals have hit 16 over their last 10.
  • The Nationals have a total OPS of .794 this season and an OPS of .781 against right-handed pitchers. The Cardinals’ OPS stands at .737 overall and .737 against righties.
  • Washington has recorded 20.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.6 over its last five.