Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Free Pick

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The Washington Nationals are preparing to do battle against their division rival Philadelphia Phillies in a Sunday day game. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be showing the matchup and the opening pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (-120) is favored over Washington (+110) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 10 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. The game’s current runline odds stand at -190 for taking the Nationals +1.5 runs and +165 for the Phillies -1.5.

The Phillies are 47-45 straight up (SU) and 44-47 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.0 units ATS. Philadelphia has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Nationals have gone 49-42 SU this year and are 48-42 ATS. In total, the club has lost 7.0 units for gamblers taking the moneyline, but have gained 2.2 units ATS. Washington’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Neither team has established itself as a strong over/under play this year. Phillies games have a 44-43-4 over/under record so far in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 43-41-6.

The right-handed Anibal Sanchez is projected to start for the visiting Nationals. Sanchez (5-6, 3.66 ERA) has racked up 75 punchouts in 83.2 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 18 strikeouts and a 4.40 ERA against Philadelphia this year (three starts).

The Phillies are planning to start righty Jake Arrieta (8-7, 4.67 ERA), who has 85 punchouts and 40 walks to his name, along with a WHIP of 1.46. Arrieta is 0-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA over two starts against Washington this year.

Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.53 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.74 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 48 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.64 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.30.

The Philadelphia offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .275/.338/.455 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is hitting .287/.340/.422 with seven home runs, 41 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Segura’s line sits at .272/.318/.438 with 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 55 runs.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 3.52 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 10.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.95, along with a WHIP of 1.18.

Nationals hitters have slashed .254/.331/.436 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this year, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Washington’s offensive production has been sparked by outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto, who have combined to drive in 80 runs. Eaton is slashing .282/.367/.387 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 51 runs scored, while Soto (.302/.406/.542) is up to 16 homers, 59 RBIs and 56 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 0.7 units and are 38-30 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 33 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 0.4 units and are 33-35 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, compared to 32 that went under.

Nationals vs. Phillies Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Washington has tallied 17 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Philadelphia has 18 XBH over its last five.
  • The Nationals have a total OPS of .766 this season and an OPS of .733 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS sits at .748 overall and .737 versus righties.
  • The Nationals have won eight of their last nine games SU while the Phillies have dropped three of their last four.
  • Washington has recorded 22.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.0 over its last five.
  • Each team has hit 12 home runs over its last 10 games.