Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

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Adam Eaton and the surging Washington Nationals will make a road trip to Citizens Bank Park to do battle against a divisional nemesis in the Philadelphia Phillies. NBC Sports Philadelphia will be airing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 6:05 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at Philadelphia Phillies Odds

Philadelphia (+130) is the underdog against Washington (-140) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this one at nine runs (-120 for the over and +100 for the under). This game currently has a runline of Nationals -1.5 (+105) and Phillies +1.5 (-125).

The Nationals have gone 47-42 SU this year and are 47-42 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 1.2 units ATS. The Phillies, on the other hand, are 47-43 SU and 44-46 ATS. They’ve lost 3.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.8 units ATS.

Philadelphia games have had an over/under record of 44-42-4 thus far in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 43-40-6.

The right-handed Stephen Strasburg will get the start for Washington. Strasburg (10-4, 3.64 ERA) has racked up 138 punchouts in 116.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year.

The Phillies are planning to start righty Nick Pivetta (4-3, 5.84 ERA), who has 52 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name as well as a 1.48 WHIP. Pivetta is 0-2 with eight strikeouts and a 13.00 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 3.55 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 9.99 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.08, along with a K/9 of 9.09.

Nationals hitters have slashed .254/.330/.437 on their way to 4.9 runs scored per game this season, including 5.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Outfielders Adam Eaton and Juan Soto continue to lead Washington’s hitters. Eaton is hitting .281/.368/.383 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 50 runs scored. Soto (.300/.406/.537) has produced 15 homers, 56 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.56, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 4.76 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 9.1 K/9. In 46 divisional games, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.70 and the bullpen’s ERA is 5.37.

Philadelphia’s hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .291/.362/.475 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Cesar Hernandez and shortstop Jean Segura have led the Phillies’ offense this year. Hernandez is slashing .285/.339/.420 with seven home runs, 40 RBIs and 42 runs scored, while Segura’s line is .278/.322/.447 with 10 homers, 40 RBIs and 55 runs.

The Nationals have lost 1.6 units and are 37-30 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 32 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.4 units and are 33-34 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 32 of those games, compared to 31 that went under the total.

Nationals at Phillies MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in six of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • Philadelphia has posted 24.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.4 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 15 over their last 10.
  • The Nationals have an OPS of .768 this season and an OPS of .734 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Phillies’ OPS stands at .750 overall and .740 against righties.