Washington Nationals at New York Mets Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals will take on their divisional rival New York Mets at Citi Field. The game gets underway 1:10 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (+120) as the underdog to Washington (-130). The total is sitting at 9 runs and bettors can wager on the over for -115 or the under for -105. Gamblers can also bet on the games spread with the runline odds standing at Nationals -1.5 runs (+115) and Mets +1.5 runs (-135).

The Mets are just 39-54 straight up (SU) and 39-52 against the spread (ATS). The teams lost 18.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 19.4 units (ATS). New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 47-48 SU and have gone 43-51 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 17.8 units for moneyline bettors and 11.2 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

New York games have a 38-49-4 over/under record thus far in 2018. The Nationals have also been a strong under bet with a total record of 37-55-2.

Jeremy Hellickson will get the nod for Washington. The right-handed Hellickson is 3-1 with a 3.47 ERA and 43 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with three strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA against New York this year.

The Mets are putting the ball in the hands of Corey Oswalt (0-2, 6.75 ERA), who has 14 strikeouts and six walks, as well as a 1.15 WHIP. Oswalt hasn’t faced the Nationals yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

Washington’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.02 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.20 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.68, along with a K-per-9 of 8.85.

Nationals hitters have slashed .244/.324/.403 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s offense. Turner is hitting .268/.345/.404 with 11 home runs, 37 RBIs, 55 runs and 22 stolen bases, while Rendon (.285/.350/.528) is up to 15 homers, 45 RBIs and 42 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.6 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have an ERA of 4.02, a WHIP of 1.28 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.2. The bullpen has a 4.65 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.6 K/9. In 38 games against divisional foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 3.64 and the bullpens ERA is 4.20.

The New York offense has produced 3.9 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .241/.317/.395 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the charge for the Mets batters this year. Cabrera is slashing .282/.334/.493 with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs and 44 runs scored, while Rosario’s line sits at .249/.293/.384 with four homers, 23 RBIs and 33 runs.

The Mets have lost 11.9 units and are 28-39 ATS when facing a righty starter. The overs hit in 28 of those games, compared to 35 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in four of Washington’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have lost three of their last four games SU.
  • New York has recorded 15.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit eight over their last 10.