Washington Nationals at New York Mets Free Pick

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Adam Eaton and the slumping Washington Nationals are preparing to face off against their NL East foe New York Mets at Citi Field in a Thursday night game. SportsNet New York will televise the matchup and the game gets underway at 12:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds

Las Vegas has Washington (-125) as the favorite over New York (+115). The total currently stands at 7.5 runs and bettors can play the over or the under for -110. There’s a runline of Nationals -1.5 (+120) and Mets +1.5 (-140) for this matchup.

The Nationals are just 19-30 SU and are 20-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 16.8 units for moneyline bettors in the season’s early going and 10.7 units ATS. Washington’s covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 23-25 SU and 23-24 ATS. They’ve lost 9.2 units for moneyline bettors and 4.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Mets games have an over/under record of 24-20-3 so far in 2019. The Nationals have an over/under record of 24-21-3.

Right-hander Stephen Strasburg will get the start for Washington. Strasburg is 4-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 82 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 17 strikeouts and a 2.84 ERA against New York this year (two starts).

The Mets are handing the ball to lefty Steven Matz (3-3, 3.96 ERA), who has 38 punchouts and 11 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.27. Matz is 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.92 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 6.89, along with a WHIP of 1.26.

Nationals hitters have slashed .240/.316/.403 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this year, including 5.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Outfielder Adam Eaton and third baseman Anthony Rendon have led Washington’s hitters. Eaton is hitting .269/.336/.378 with four home runs, 12 RBIs, 26 runs and five steals, while Rendon (.325/.423/.675) has produced nine homers, 27 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 4.55 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.33 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 9.4 K/9. In 30 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.44 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.31.

The New York offense has put up 4.5 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .174/.272/.329 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ batters so far. McNeil is slashing .333/.418/.461 with 55 hits, 15 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Rosario’s line is .261/.305/.398 with four homers, 26 RBIs and 15 runs.

The Nationals have lost 5.0 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to five that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 8.8 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 20 of those games, compared to 15 that went under the total.

Nationals vs. Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in four of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have lost five of their last six games SU.
  • The Washington defense has allowed four errors over the last five outin, compared to only zero errors for New York over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • The Nationals have a total OPS of .718 this season, including an OPS of .843 against left-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .723 overall and .764 against southpaws.