Washington Nationals at New York Mets Free Pick

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Adam Eaton and the Washington Nationals will pay a visit to Flushing to face off against a divisional foe in the Mets at Citi Field. SportsNet New York will be televising the action and the game will get underway at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals at New York Mets Odds

The Mets are 22-22 against the spread (ATS), but just 20-25 straight up (SU). The team has lost 9.8 units for moneyline bettors and 2.6 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Nationals have gone 19-27 SU this year and are 18-27 against the spread. In total, the team’s lost 13.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early portions of the year and 11.6 units ATS. Washington has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

Mets games have a 23-18-3 over/under record so far in 2019. Washington has an over/under record of 22-20-3.

Southpaw Patrick Corbin is projected to start for Washington. Corbin is 4-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 69 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 24 strikeouts and a 2.70 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Mets will put the ball in the right hand of Wilmer Font (1-1, 7.08 ERA, 1.52 WHIP), who has 21 punchouts and seven walks this season. Font is 0-1 with two strikeouts and a 19.29 ERA in one start against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.99 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 10.36 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 6.60, along with a K-per-9 of 9.02.

Nationals hitters have slashed .243/.317/.405 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Washington’s hitters have been paced by outfielders Adam Eaton and Victor Robles, who’ve collectively blasted 11 home runs. Eaton is hitting .280/.347/.379 with three home runs, 11 RBIs, 25 runs and five stolen bases, while Robles (.247/.297/.451) is up to eight homers, 17 RBIs, 30 runs and eight steals.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.9 runs per game overall in 2019. The club’s starters have a 4.64 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 9.5 K/9. In 27 games against NL East foes, Mets starters have an ERA of 4.59 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.48.

The New York offense has put up 4.4 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .191/.249/.318 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that stretch.

Left fielder Jeff McNeil and shortstop Amed Rosario have led the Mets’ hitters so far. McNeil is hitting .342/.430/.471 with 53 hits, 14 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Rosario’s line sits at .264/.306/.393 with three homers, 24 RBIs and 13 runs scored.

The Nationals have lost 8.2 units and are 14-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 1.9 units and are 6-2 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in four of those games, compared to four that went under the total.

Nationals vs. Mets Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • Washington has recorded 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. New York has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • New York has posted 20.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 14.6 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • The Nationals have an OPS of .723 this season and an OPS of .684 against right-handed pitchers. The Mets’ OPS stands at .717 overall and .713 versus righties.