Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Washington Nationals are traveling south to face off against their NL East foe Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network is in line to broadcast the action and the game is scheduled to get going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against Washington (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-110 for both the over and the under). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +100 for picking the Nationals -1.5 runs and -120 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Nationals are 76-74 SU and have gone 70-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 23.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 12.6 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 58-91 SU and 76-72 ATS. They’ve lost 6.2 units for moneyline bettors and 11.8 units ATS.

Miami games have had an over/under record of 74-69-5 in 2018. Washington has been a decent under bet with a total record of 68-78-3.

Erick Fedde is getting the start for Washington. The right-handed Fedde (2-3, 5.12 ERA) has racked up 35 punchouts in 38.2 innings so far. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins are putting the ball in the hands of Trevor Richards (3-9, 4.85 ERA), who has 107 strikeouts and 50 walks as well as a 1.46 WHIP. Richards is 0-0 with 13 strikeouts and a 1.86 ERA across two starts against Washington this year.

Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.89 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.90, along with a K/9 of 8.45.

The Nationals offense has slashed .252/.334/.416 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon continue to lead Washington’s hitters. The speedy Turner is slashing .267/.337/.403 with 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, 92 runs and 39 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .300 with 20 homers, 75 RBIs and 79 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Miami’s pitching staff has allowed 5.1 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.43, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.6. The bullpen has a 5.47 ERA, 1.51 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 68 games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.41 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.42.

The Miami hitters have produced 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.5 per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over their last five. The team has hit .201/.264/.354 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ offense has been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .280/.330/.399 with 11 home runs, 51 RBIs and 74 runs scored, and Anderson’s line sits at .270/.353/.395 with 10 homers, 59 RBIs and 80 runs.

The Marlins have lost 1.0 units and are 55-57 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 55 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers.

Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in three of Miami’s last seven games.
  • Washington has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
  • The Nationals have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.