Washington Nationals at Miami Marlins Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Miami Marlins will play host to their division nemesis Washington Nationals at Marlins Park. The action will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network to catch the game.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+155) is the home-team underdog against Washington (-165) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Nationals -1.5 runs (-115) and Marlins +1.5 runs (-105).

The Nationals have gone 76-75 SU this year and are 71-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 22.6 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 11.6 units ATS. The Marlins, on the other hand, are 59-91 SU and 77-72 ATS. They’ve lost 4.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.8 units ATS.

Marlins games have a 75-69-5 over/under record in 2018. The Nationals have been a decent under bet with a total record of 69-78-3.

The right-handed Stephen Strasburg is projected to start for the visiting Nationals. Strasburg is 8-7 with a 3.87 ERA and 133 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Miami this year.

The Marlins are going with righty Sandy Alcantara (2-0, 1.42 ERA), who’s got 14 strikeouts and 10 walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.95. Alcantara hasn’t faced the Nationals yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starters have a 4.45 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.45 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.1 K/9. In 69 games against divisional opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 4.45 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.35.

Miami’s offense is putting up 3.7 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .224/.293/.364 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Marlins’ offense has been led by Starlin Castro, who is hitting .281/.332/.407 with 12 home runs, 54 RBIs and 75 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.06 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.91 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.98, along with a K/9 of 8.47.

The Nationals offense has slashed .252/.333/.416 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game this year, including 5.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Trea Turner has provided a spark to the Washington offense. Turner is slashing .267/.336/.402 with 17 home runs, 64 RBIs, 93 runs and 39 steals.

The Marlins are coming off an 8-5 win in the prior game of the series.

Washington Nationals vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Nationals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in five of Miami’s last seven games.
  • The Nationals have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit eight over their last 10.
  • Washington has posted 21.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.6 over its last five.