Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets Free Pick

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The Vegas Golden Knights at Bell MTS Place in Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals. The opening face-off takes place at 3 p.m. ET on Sunday, May 20, and it’ll air live on NBC.

Vegas Golden Knights vs. Winnipeg Jets Odds

Winnipeg (+130) is entering this one as the underdog to Winnipeg (-150), and the oddsmakers have put the Over/Under (O/U) at 6 goals (-125 under, +105 over).

Vegas is 62-34 straight up (SU) and has earned 23.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. Through 96 regular season matches, 47 of its games have gone over the total, while 45 have gone under and just four have pushed. The Knights are 27-21 SU on the road in 2017-18.

The Golden Knights offensive attack attempted 32.6 shots per game in the regular season, resulting in 3.3 goals per contest (ranked fourth overall in the NHL). In the playoffs, the club is maintaining an average of 31.5 shots on goal ( 2.9 goals per game).

Following a regular season where they found the net on 21.1 percent of all power-play chances (the 10th-best), the Golden Knights have been able to score on 18.4 percent of their power plays in the postseason. Their penalty kills gone from 81.7 percent in the regular season to 81.1 percent in the playoffs.

Sporting a .932 save percentage and 28.7 saves per game, Marc-Andre Fleury (40-20-5) has been the top option in goal for Vegas this season. If head coach Gerard Gallant chooses to rest him, however, the team may go with Malcolm Subban (15-7-2 record, .910 save percentage, 2.68 goals against average).

The visiting Golden Knights have relied on Jonathan Marchessault and William Karlsson this year. Marchessault (93 points) has tallied 35 goals and 58 assists, and has recorded two or more points 28 times. Karlsson has 49 goals and 42 assists to his name (and has notched a point in 60 games).

Winnipeg is 61-37 straight up (SU) and has earned 18.3 units for moneyline bettors this year. 48 of its contests have gone under the total, while 47 have gone over and just three have pushed. This year, the team is 37-12 SU as the home team.

The Jets have converted on 23.7 percent of their power play opportunities this season, a figure that places it in the top-5 among NHL teams. On the other hand, its penalty kill is ranked ninth overall, and it’s successfully killed off 80.9 percent of all opponent power plays.

Jets players have been sent to the penalty box 3.8 times per game in total this season, 4.4 per game over their past five match ups total, and 3.4 per game over their last five home outings. The team has been forced to defend opponent power plays just 8.1 minutes per game over their last 10 outings.

Connor Hellebuyck (28.1 saves per game) has been the primary selection in goal for the Jets. Hellebuyck has 53 wins, 30 losses, and 10 overtime losses to his name and has recorded a .923 save percentage and 2.36 goals against average this season.

Blake Wheeler (26 goals, 86 assists) will pace the attack for the Jets.

Vegas Golden Knights at Winnipeg Jets Free Picks

Free Pick: SU Winner – Golden Knights, O/U – Under

Betting Notes

  • The total has gone under in three of Vegas last five games.
  • Winnipeg is putting up 3.4 goals per game across its five-game win streak.
  • Seven of Vegas last ten games have been decided by two goals or more. The team is 5-2 in those games.
  • The Jets this season have handed the 11th-most hits per game (23.4).