Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat Free Preview

The Miami Heat (43-38) and Toronto Raptors (59-22) will clash at AmericanAirlines Arena to get their Eastern Conference schedules going. Tip-off is set for 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 11, 2018, and it can be seen on The Sports Network.

Toronto Raptors vs. Miami Heat Odds Preview

The Raptors defeated the Detroit Pistons in their last matchup, 108-98. Jonas Valanciunas was the top scorer from either team with 25 points on 11-for-13 shooting. The Raptors held the Pistons to an offensive rebounding percentage of 9.1 (below their season average of 22.9) and had an effective field goal percentage of 0.598 (above their season average of 0.539).

The last time the Heat played, they were defeated by the Oklahoma City Thunder, 115-93. With 16 points and eight rebounds, Hassan Whiteside had a solid performance for Miami. Oklahoma City did a terrific job of making free throws (31-38; 81.6 percent). Miami, meanwhile, held the Thunder to an offensive rebounding percentage of 16.7 (below their season average of 27.9).

The inefficient offense of Miami will clash against the top-notch defense of Toronto. The Heat currently rank 21st in offensive efficiency, while the Raptors are fifth in defensive efficiency. The Raptors should have the advantage on that end of the court.

Of Toronto’s 81 games, 41 have finished over the projected point total, while 42 of Miami’s 81 games have finished under the O/U total. The Raptors have the clear advantage straight up (SU) (59-22 vs. 43-38) and a slight edge against the spread (ATS) (44-37 vs. 40-37-4).

These two teams have already met twice this year, each winning once. Kyle Lowry put up 22 points and eight assists in the most recent contest, in which the Raptors beat the Heat 115-112 but were unable to cover as 8.5-point favorites. The two teams combined to put up 227 points, which was 23 points above the projected point total of 204 points. The Raptors’ 7.4 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Heat, who had a rate of 14.5.

Toronto Raptors at Miami Heat Odds Prediction

Prediction: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Under

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank third in three pointers attempted per game (33.0) while the Heat rank ninth (30.6).
  • Miami ranks third in assists allowed per game (20.9) while Toronto ranks sixth (21.7).
  • Toronto ranks eighth in points off turnovers per game (17.3) while Miami ranks 13th in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.7).
  • Toronto is 22-18 ATS on the road with 21 overs and 19 unders.
  • At home, Miami is 16-22-2 ATS with 21 unders, 17 overs and 2 pushes.
  • When allowing less than 100 points, Miami is 27-6 and Toronto is 28-5.
  • When scoring above 100 points, the Heat are 31-18 and the Raptors are 53-14.
  • The Heat average 44.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks 12th in the NBA. The Raptors rank 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (45.1).
  • Toronto ranks 10th in fast break points per game (13.4) while Miami ranks 28th (9.2).
  • The Raptors rank 10th in second chance points per game (12.9) while the Heat rank 25th (11.0).
  • Miami averages 5.3 blocks per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Toronto ranks 16th in blocks allowed per game (4.9).

Bettings Trends:

  • Miami is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs in their last five games.
  • Over their last five games, Toronto is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over.
  • The Heat have been outscored by an average of 3.0 points in their last five games. For the season, Miami has defeated opponents by an average of 0.4 points.
  • During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 102.8 points per game (8.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 92.4 points per game (11.3 below their season average).