Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers Betting Prediction

Jose VasquezArticles, Basketball, NBA

The Toronto Raptors (0-3), 6-point underdogs, will attempt to extend the series when they travel to Quicken Loans Arena to take on the Cleveland Cavaliers (3-0) in game four of the Eastern Conference Semifinals. The games Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 213 points and it can be seen on TNT at 8:30 p.m. ET on Monday, May 7, 2018.

Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers ATS Odds

In game three, James led the Cavaliers to a 105-103 victory. He scored a game-high 38 points. The two teams combined for 208 points, which was under the projected point total of 214, and Cleveland was unable to cover as a 4.5-point favorite. The Cavaliers turnover percentage was their largest advantage over the Raptors. Cleveland had a rate of 10.0, while Toronto posted a mark of 16.5.

It might turn into a high-scoring affair as a pair of the leagues best offenses square off. Cleveland ranks fifth with 110.8 points per 100 possessions and Toronto is third (111.6). Moreover, the Raptors rank fifth in turnover percentage (12.9 percent), while the Cavaliers rank 25th in opponents turnover percentage (13.0 percent).

Raptors games have a slight tendency to finish over the projected point total (51.6 percent). Toronto holds records of 63-28 straight up (SU) and 49-42 against the spread (ATS).

It’s tough to find a trend for games involving the Cavaliers in regards to the total, as there has been an even split between games finishing over and under. Cleveland is 57-35 SU, but they are just 35-55-2 ATS.

In the playoffs, the Cavaliers are 13-8 with 11 unders, nine overs and one push while the Raptors are 7-13 ATS with 12 unders and eight overs,

Jonas Valanciunas has been on fire recently for Toronto, averaging 15.2 points, 12.2 rebounds and 1.4 blocks over the last five games.

Toronto Raptors at Cleveland Cavaliers Free Pick

Prediction: SU Winner – Cavaliers, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over

Betting Notes:

  • The Raptors rank ninth in fast break points per game (13.3) while the Cavaliers rank 13th in fast break points allowed per game (11.6).
  • Toronto ranks second in three pointers allowed per game (24.9) while Cleveland ranks 28th (31.3).
  • The Raptors average 48.7 points in the paint per game, which ranks sixth in the league. The Cavaliers rank 22nd in points allowed in the paint per game (47.2).
  • Toronto ranks 11th in second chance points per game (12.9) while Cleveland ranks 26th (10.9).
  • Toronto ranks fifth in steals allowed per game (7.2) while Cleveland ranks 11th (7.4).
  • The Raptors rank second in blocks per game (6.1) while the Cavaliers rank 27th (3.8).
  • The Raptors rank fifth in rebounds allowed per game (42.1) while the Cavaliers rank 16th (43.3).
  • Toronto ranks 12th in points off turnovers per game (16.8) while Cleveland ranks 15th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.2).
  • Toronto averages 24.1 assists per game, which ranks sixth in the NBA. Cleveland ranks 28th in assists allowed per game (25.4).
  • Toronto is 30-5 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Cleveland is 18-5.
  • In games where they reach 100 points, the Raptors are 57-19 and the Cavaliers are 54-18.
  • Cleveland is 13-32-1 ATS at home, while Toronto is 24-21 ATS on the road.
  • The total has gone under in 25 of the Cavaliers 46 home games, while 23 of the Raptors 45 road games have gone over.

Betting Trends:

  • The Raptors are 3-2 ATS over their last five games, while the Cavaliers are 2-3.
  • In their last five games, Toronto has 3 unders and 2 overs, while Cleveland has 4 overs and 1 under.
  • The Raptors have been outscored by an average of 0.2 points in their last five games. On the season, Toronto has defeated opponents by an average of 6.9 points.
  • During their last five games, the Cavaliers have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (2.2 below their season average) and allowed an average of 109.4 points per game (0.2 above their season average).