The Toronto Raptors (12-3) and their sensational offense head to Boston as 1.5-point underdogs to take on the Celtics (8-6) and their tremendous defense. The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 214 points and it can be seen on ESPN at 7 p.m. ET on Friday, November 16, 2018.
Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics ATS Odds
In the Celtics’ last game, they comfortably covered the 13-point spread against the Chicago Bulls, 111-82. The Raptors, on the other hand, were beat by the Detroit Pistons, 106-104, and failed to cover as 9.5-point underdogs. The Boston game went 19.5 points under the projected point total of 212.5, while the Toronto game went 11.5 points under the projected point total of 221.5.
Boston dominated every facet of the game. They had a turnover percentage of 11.9 (worse than their season average of 11.5) and an effective field goal percentage of 0.550 (above their season average of 0.500). For those same stats, Chicago recorded marks of 20.0 and 0.435, respectively. Toronto, on the other hand, held Detroit to an offensive rebounding percentage of 19.6 (below their season average of 26.1). Boston’s Kyrie Irving played well, putting up 17 points, seven assists and six rebounds. Meanwhile, Kawhi Leonard played a pivotal role for Toronto with 26 points and nine rebounds.
In their first matchup this year, Leonard led the Raptors to a 113-101 victory. He notched a double-double with 31 points and 10 rebounds. The two teams combined to put up 214 points, which was just over the projected point total of 209.5, and Toronto covered as a 3-point favorite. Toronto’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Boston. The Raptors had a rate of 0.152, while the Celtics posted a mark of 0.071.
Of the Raptors’ 15 games, 10 have finished over the total. Toronto heads into the contest with records of 12-3 straight up (SU) and 8-7 against the spread (ATS).
Unlike Toronto, Celtics games have a tendency to finish under the O/U total (57.1 percent). Further, Boston is 8-6 SU and 5-9 ATS.
Pascal Siakam has been playing at a high level recently for Toronto, averaging 19.6 points and 5.8 rebounds over the last five games.
The offense of Boston (23rd in the league with an offensive efficiency of 104.3) will face off against the top-notch defense of Toronto (sixth in the league with a defensive efficiency of 104.0). The Raptors figure to have the advantage on that end of the court. Additionally, the Raptors rank 22nd in free throw attempt (FTA) rate (0.190), while the Celtics rank fifth in opponents’ FTA rate (0.181).
Toronto Raptors at Boston Celtics Free Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Raptors, ATS Winner – Raptors, O/U – Over