Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays will play their divisional rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will showcase the matchup and the first pitch will be at 1:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds

Toronto (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against New York (-145) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for betting on the games total sit at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the runline odds standing at -160 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and +140 for the Yankees -1.5.

The Blue Jays are 13-6 SU and have gone 11-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 5.0 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going and 4.8 units ATS. Toronto’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 9-9 SU and 8-9 ATS. The team has lost 4.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.6 units ATS. New York has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

New York games have an 11-5-1 over/under record so far in 2018. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 7-9-2.

Marcus Stroman will get the nod for Toronto. The right-handed Stroman is 0-1 with a 7.98 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 7.20 ERA against New York this year (five starts).

The Yankees are turning to lefty Jordan Montgomery (1-0, 4.70 ERA), who’s got 12 strikeouts and six walks to his credit as well as a 1.50 WHIP. Montgomery has yet to face the Blue Jays this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 0.79 ERA and eight strikeouts.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.93 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 13.4 K/9. In 15 divisional games, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.96 and the bullpens ERA is 4.31.

The New York hitters are putting up 5.5 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .283/.377/.538 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led the charge for the Yankees offense so far. Gregorius is slashing .322/.442/.729 with five home runs, 17 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Judge’s line sits at .328/.464/.597 with five homers, 12 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge enjoyed batting against right-handed pitchers at home last year, slashing .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 3.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.91 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.55 K/9. The bullpen has logged an excellent ERA of just 2.15, along with a WHIP of 1.45 and a K-per-9 of 9.05.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .244/.335/.431 on its way to 6.0 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 8.4 per game over the teams last five outings (4-1 SU).

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and outfielder Curtis Granderson have led Toronto’s hitters. Solarte is slashing .283/.413/.583 with five home runs, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Granderson is hitting .319/.439/.532 with two homers, nine RBIs and 10 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .255/.314/.416, Solarte didn’t do as well hitting against left-handed pitchers last year, putting up a slash line of .211/.275/.289 across 142 plate appearances.

The Blue Jays have gained 2.6 units and are 5-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in three of those games, compared to three that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 3.8 units and are 4-7 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over hit in six of those games, compared to four that went under.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Blue Jays have won five of their last six games SU.
  • New York has recorded 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.6 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 13 over their last 10.