Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Betting Preview

Jonathan GarosBaseball, MLB

The New York Yankees are playing host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium. Pix11 will be airing the action and the game will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-260) as the favorite over Toronto (+230). The total stands at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +105 for betting the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -125 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 90-56 straight up (SU) and 72-74 against the spread (ATS). The team has lost 8.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 12.2 units (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Blue Jays have gone 65-81 SU this year and are 62-83 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.3 units for moneyline bettors and 32.0 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven.

New York games have an over/under record of 65-74-7 in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 74-62-9.

Right-hander Marco Estrada is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Estrada is 7-11 with a 5.32 ERA and 95 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with 12 strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against New York this year (three starts).

The Yankees will turn to righty Masahiro Tanaka (11-5, 3.61 ERA), who’s got 144 strikeouts and 32 walks as well as a 1.09 WHIP. Tanaka is 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 1.50 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.08 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 9.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.27 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 11.4 K/9. In 60 games against AL East opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.14 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

The New York hitters have put up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .210/.326/.350 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ hitters have been led by Miguel Andujar and Giancarlo Stanton. Andujar is hitting .299/.332/.518 with 23 home runs, 79 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Stanton is hitting .264 with 33 homers, 86 RBIs and 90 runs scored.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 5.21 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.54 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.36, along with a K-per-9 of 8.99.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.316/.427 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is slashing .247/.355/.466 with 24 home runs, 75 RBIs and 64 runs scored. Pillar (.245/.274/.408) is up to 12 homers, 54 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have gained 8.1 units and are 43-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 51 of those games, compared to 42 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 12.9 units and are 54-51 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 48 of those games, compared to 54 that went under.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes,

  • Toronto has logged 20 extra-base hits over its last five games. New York has 13 XBH over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
  • Toronto has recorded 20.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 19.8 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have lost four of their last five games SU while the Yankees have dropped three of their last four.