Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Mets Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The New York Mets will face off against the Toronto Blue Jays at Citi Field. This interleague matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsNet New York.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets Odds

New York (-175) is the favorite against Toronto (+165) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-135) and Mets +-1.5 runs (+115).

The Blue Jays have gone 21-20 SU this year and are 21-20 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.1 units for bettors taking the moneyline over the early part of the year and 0.5 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in six of those seven. The Mets, on the other hand, are 19-18 SU and 16-21 ATS. The team has lost 1.0 units for moneyline bettors and 5.5 units ATS. New York has covered the spread just once in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.

New York games have a 17-19-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 17-19-5.

Jaime Garcia will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The southpaw Garcia is 2-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made three starts against the Mets in 2017, compiling a 0-2 record against them with a 4.42 ERA and 12 strikeouts.

The Mets will send righty Noah Syndergaard (2-1, 3.09 ERA) to the mound. Syndergaard has 54 strikeouts and 10 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.20. Syndergaard did not record a start against the Blue Jays in 2017.

As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.5 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.35, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.3. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.9 K/9.

New York’s hitters have put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 2.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The teams hit .251/.308/.450 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Mets offense has been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and outfielder Brandon Nimmo. Cabrera is hitting .329/.376/.552 with six home runs, 23 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Nimmo is batting .259 with 14 hits, three RBIs and 12 runs.

Cabrera did not perform very well against lefty pitching at home last season, slashing .268/.288/.286 in 59 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .280/.351/.434).

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 5.55 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 8.10 K/9. The bullpen has an outstanding ERA of just 2.78, along with a WHIP of 1.50 and a K-per-9 of 9.33.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .232/.313/.420 on its way to 4.8 runs scored per game this season, including 2.9 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Outfielders Kevin Pillar and Curtis Granderson have led Toronto’s hitters. Pillar is slashing .308/.349/.519 with four home runs, 17 RBIs, 25 runs and eight steals, while Granderson is hitting .266/.431/.468 with three homers, 13 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Granderson performed well against right-handed pitchers on the road last year. Over 238 such plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .234/.353/.542 (compared to his total season line of .212/.323/.450).

The Blue Jays have gained 1.3 units and are 11-13 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 11 of those games, compared to 10 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mets have lost 0.1 units and are 5-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in three of those games, as opposed to six that’ve cashed the under.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Mets Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Blue Jays have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mets have hit 10 over their last 10.
  • New York has recorded 16.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.2 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have lost three of their last four games SU.