Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays will be facing off against their divisional rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The opening pitch is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be televising the matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Odds

Toronto (+220) is the underdog against Boston (-240) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this night game at 9.5 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at +100 for the under and -120 for the over. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds standing at +100 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -120 for the Red Sox -1.5 runs.

The Red Sox are 99-46 straight up (SU) and 85-59 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 32.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 24.8 units (ATS). Boston has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. On the other hand, the Blue Jays are 65-79 SU and have gone 61-82 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 9.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 32.0 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 68-70-6 in 2018. The Blue Jays have been a decent over bet with a total record of 74-61-8.

The right-handed Aaron Sanchez is projected to start for the visiting Blue Jays. Sanchez is 4-5 with a 5.17 ERA and 79 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 16 strikeouts and a 6.19 ERA against Boston this year (three starts).

The Red Sox are going with lefty David Price (14-6, 3.57 ERA), who has 162 strikeouts and 43 walks, as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Price is 3-0 with 18 strikeouts and a 3.71 ERA across three starts against Toronto this year.

Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.9 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.76, a WHIP of 1.22 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.6. The bullpen has a 3.47 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 65 divisional games, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.81.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.5 per game against divisional foes and 5.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .287/.354/.420 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox offense this year. Martinez is hitting .331/.401/.633 with 40 home runs, 121 RBIs and 105 runs scored, while Betts has put up a line of .340/.432/.629 with 29 homers, 71 RBIs, 117 runs and 27 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.24 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.56 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.39, along with a K/9 of 8.99.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .245/.317/.429 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

First baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar have paced Toronto’s offense. Smoak is slashing .246/.353/.467 with 24 home runs, 74 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar is hitting .247/.275/.412 with 12 homers, 53 RBIs, 56 runs and 14 steals.

The Blue Jays have lost 17.4 units and are 18-28 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 31.4 units and are 68-42 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in 52 of those games, compared to 53 that went under.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Toronto has tallied 26 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Boston has 12 XBH over its last five.
  • Boston has recorded 22.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 25.6 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.