Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays will be squaring off against their AL East rival Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park. The action will begin at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to New England Sports Network to catch the game.

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds

The Blue Jays are 43-50 SU and are 43-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 10.6 units ATS. The Red Sox, on the other hand, are 66-30 SU and 58-37 ATS. The team has gained 24.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 20.9 units ATS.

Neither team has positioned itself as an obvious over/under play this year. Red Sox games have an over/under record of 46-46-3 so far in 2018. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 43-41-8.

Sam Gaviglio will get the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Gaviglio (2-3, 4.70 ERA) has recorded 51 punchouts in 53.2 innings so far. He’s 1-1 with 10 strikeouts and a 4.35 ERA against Boston this year.

The Red Sox are putting the ball in the left hand of Eduardo Rodriguez (11-3, 3.62 ERA), who’s got 105 punchouts and 32 walks as well as a 1.25 WHIP. Rodriguez is 2-0 with 10 strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA over two starts against Toronto this year.

Boston’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 3.82 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.31 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 9.6 K/9. In 43 games against AL East opponents, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.66 and the bullpens ERA is 4.02.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.2 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .306/.359/.488 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

J.D. Martinez and Mookie Betts have led the Red Sox batters this year. Martinez is hitting .330/.392/.644 with 28 home runs, 79 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while the line for Betts stands at .357/.445/.697 with 23 homers, 51 RBIs, 78 runs and 16 steals.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.00 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.86, along with a K/9 of 9.15.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .238/.312/.422 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Third baseman Yangervis Solarte and right fielder Kevin Pillar continue to lead Toronto’s offense. Solarte is hitting .248/.305/.434 with 16 home runs, 48 RBIs and 43 runs scored, while Pillar (.248/.279/.408) has produced eight homers, 37 RBIs, 42 runs and 11 stolen bases.

The Blue Jays have lost 11.6 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 15 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Red Sox have netted 23.1 units and are 45-26 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 36 of those games, as opposed to 33 which went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has hit in four of Toronto’s last seven games.
  • Toronto has recorded 22.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 24.6 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games, including nine over their last five.