Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

The Toronto Blue Jays will make a road trip to Oriole Park to face off against their AL East rival Baltimore Orioles. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the matchup and the game will get going at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Baltimore (+170) is coming into this one as the underdog against Toronto (-200) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). The games runline odds stand at +105 for taking the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -115 for the Orioles -1.5.

The Blue Jays are 6-4 SU and have gone 5-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline gamblers in this young season, despite having gained 2.5 units ATS. The Orioles are 4-6 SU and 3-6 ATS. They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors and 3.8 units ATS.

Orioles games have a 3-6 over/under record so far in 2018. The Blue Jays have an over/under record of 3-6.

The Blue Jays have lost 1.1 units and are 3-3 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have netted 0.6 units and are 2-0 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to one that’ve gone under.

J.A. Happ (1-1, 5.40 ERA) will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The left-handed Happ struck out 142 hitters across 145 innings last year (25 starts) but finished the season 10-11 overall with a 3.53 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. He made three starts against Baltimore in 2017 and compiled a 0-3 record against the Orioles with a 3.06 ERA and 14 strikeouts.

The Orioles are turning to righty Dylan Bundy (0-0, 0.69 ERA), who started 28 games last year and finished the season 13-9 overall with a 4.24 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP. He made three starts against the Blue Jays a year ago and assembled a 2-0 record with a 0.95 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

As a unit, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.4 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starters have a 5.25 ERA, 1.56 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.94 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 8.8 K/9. In four games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.29 and the bullpens ERA is 2.42.

The Baltimore hitters have produced 3.7 runs per outing, including 5.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .238/.305/.374 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles hitters have been led by Manny Machado and Pedro Alvarez. Machado is slashing .310/.396/.500 with 13 hits, five RBIs and four runs scored, while Alvarez’s line is .250/.471/.583 with three hits, five RBIs and three runs.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado seemed to enjoy hitting lefties at home last season, slashing .300/.345/.588 over 87 such plate appearances.

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.85 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 8.89 K/9. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.97, along with a K-per-9 of 9.18.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .233/.309/.442 on their way to 5.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

First baseman Justin Smoak and third baseman Yangervis Solarte have led Toronto’s hitters. Smoak is slashing .351/.432/.649 with 13 hits, 10 RBIs and eight runs scored, while Solarte (.308/.471/.615) is up to eight hits, two homers, three RBIs and five runs scored.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Blue Jays went 7-12 SU against the Orioles last season.
  • The Orioles have won three of their last four games SU.
  • The Orioles bullpen managed an ERA of 3.06 against the Blue Jays last year.