Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays will face their AL East rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will be televising the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Odds

New York (-215) is favored over Toronto (+195) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (+105 for the over and -125 for the under). You can also bet on the games runline with the current odds coming in at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-110) and Yankees -1.5 runs (-110).

The Yankees are 10-9 SU and 8-10 ATS. They’ve lost 5.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.6 units against the spread (ATS). New York has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the over has hit in five of those seven. The Blue Jays are 13-7 SU and have gone 12-7 ATS. In total, the teams gained 6.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the seasons early going and 5.8 units ATS. Torontohas covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

New York games have had an over/under record of 12-5-1 so far in 2018. Blue Jays games have gone under nine times, gone over eight times and pushed on two occasions.

Jaime Garcia is getting the start for the visiting Blue Jays. The southpaw Garcia is 2-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 17 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Yankees are sending righty Luis Severino (3-1, 2.63 ERA) to the mound. Severino has 28 strikeouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 0.96. Severino is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA across one starts against Toronto this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game overall this season. The teams starters have a 4.72 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.17 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 13.3 K/9. In 16 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.71 and the bullpens ERA is 4.12.

New York’s offense is putting up 5.7 runs per outing, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .281/.385/.503 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Right fielder Aaron Judge and shortstop Didi Gregorius have led the charge for the Yankees offense this year. Judge is hitting .338/.472/.634 with six home runs, 15 RBIs and 18 runs scored, and Gregorius has produced a line of .333/.451/.714 with five homers, 18 RBIs and 16 runs scored.

Judge did not do very well against lefty pitching last season, slashing .230/.439/.496 in 155 plate appearances (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).

In the other dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.16 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 8.54 K/9. The bullpen has an excellent ERA of just 2.20, along with a WHIP of 1.46 and a K/9 of 9.23.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .239/.329/.417 on their way to 5.8 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 6.4 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Toronto’s offense has been powered by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and left fielder Curtis Granderson. Solarte is hitting .266/.392/.547 with five home runs, 10 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Granderson is hitting .319/.439/.532 with two homers, nine RBIs and 10 runs scored.

Compared to his total season slash line of .212/.323/.450, Granderson seemed to enjoy hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .234/.353/.542 across 238 such plate appearances.

The Blue Jays have gained 4.2 units and are 7-5 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to six that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 0.1 units and are 4-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to one that’ve cashed the under.

Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Toronto fielders have three errors over the last 10 games, compared to nine errors for New York over its last 10.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 14 over their last 10.