Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Boston Red Sox are playing host to the Toronto Blue Jays at Fenway Park. The action will get going at 7:10 p.m. ET and New England Sports Network will be airing the game.

Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox Odds

Toronto (+170) is coming into this one as the underdog to Boston (-180) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total stand at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at Blue Jays +1.5 runs (-130) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+110).

The Red Sox are 37-17 SU and 28-25 ATS. They’ve gained 10.1 units for moneyline bettors and 3.4 units against the spread (ATS). The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 25-29 SU and have gone 28-25 ATS. In total, the teams lost 4.2 units for moneyline gamblers, but have gained 1.4 units ATS.

Neither team has positioned itself as a strong over/under bet this year. Red Sox games have an over/under record of 25-26-2 so far in 2018. Toronto has an over/under record of 23-22-8.

The right-handed Marco Estrada will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. Estrada is 2-5 with a 5.40 ERA and 41 strikeouts. He’s 0-2 with 10 strikeouts and a 7.36 ERA against Boston this year (four starts).

The Red Sox are handing the ball to righty Rick Porcello (6-2, 3.74 ERA), who’s got 65 strikeouts and 13 walks, as well as a 1.14 WHIP. Porcello is 0-0 with nine strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA across one starts against Toronto this year.

Boston’s pitching staff has yielded 3.8 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The teams starters have a 3.84 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 9.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.16, a WHIP of 1.18 and a K/9 of 9.6. In 33 games against divisional foes, Red Sox starters have an ERA of 3.29 and the bullpens ERA is 3.97.

The Boston offense is putting up 5.3 runs per outing, including 5.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .244/.328/.494 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

Mookie Betts has helped lead the Red Sox offense this year with 17 home runs, 37 RBIs, 52 runs and 13 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 5.27 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 3.69, along with a K/9 of 8.86.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .229/.311/.408 on their way to 4.6 runs scored per game this year, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Kevin Pillar has led Toronto’s hitters thus far and is hitting .278/.323/.460 with four home runs, 21 RBIs, 27 runs and nine stolen bases.

The Red Sox just took the previous game in this series by a final score of eight runs to three.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Boston Red Sox Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Boston’s last seven games.
  • The Blue Jays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Red Sox have hit 17 over their last 10.
  • Boston has posted 21.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 20.8 over its last five.
  • The Red Sox have won three of their last four games SU.