Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays will face the Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. This AL showdown starts at 10:10 p.m. ET and fans can catch it on both RTNW and RSN.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Toronto (+200) is entering this game as the underdog against Seattle (-220) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the games total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Bettors can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at -110 for the Blue Jays +1.5 runs and -110 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Mariners are 63-46 straight up (SU) and 54-55 against the spread (ATS). The teams gained 12.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.3 units (ATS). Seattle has a 3-4 ATS mark over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays, on the other hand, are 49-59 SU and have gone 48-60 ATS. In total, the teams lost 9.4 units for moneyline bettors and 19.4 units ATS. Toronto is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in six of those seven.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 52-55-2 in 2018. The Blue Jays have been a decent over bet with a total record of 54-46-8.

Marco Estrada is getting the start for Toronto. The right-handed Estrada is 4-8 with a 4.90 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and eight strikeouts over six innings).

The Mariners will send lefty James Paxton (9-4, 3.49 ERA) to the mound. Paxton has 163 strikeouts and 33 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.05. Paxton is 1-0 with seven strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Toronto this year.

Seattle’s pitching staff has given up 4.3 runs per game overall this season as a unit. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.15, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.6 K/9.

The Seattle offense has put up 4.2 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .260/.321/.379 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners offense this year. Segura is slashing .311/.341/.440 with eight home runs, 51 RBIs, 72 runs and 15 steals, while Gordon’s line is .288/.308/.349 with 118 hits, 22 RBIs, 49 runs and 26 stolen bases.

For the visiting squad, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.96 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 8.02 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.41, along with a K-per-9 of 9.15.

The Blue Jays offense has slashed .241/.314/.424 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.4 runs per game over the teams last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s offense has been fueled by third baseman Yangervis Solarte and first baseman Justin Smoak, who collectively have belted 34 home runs. Solarte is slashing .235/.288/.407 with 17 home runs, 53 RBIs and 47 runs scored. Smoak (.251/.358/.474) has produced 17 homers, 55 RBIs and 47 runs scored.

The Blue Jays have lost 14.7 units and are 16-22 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 17 of those games, compared to 17 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 18.3 units and are 37-37 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 39 of those games, compared to 34 which went under the total.

Toronto Blue Jays at Seattle Mariners Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in four of Seattle’s last seven games.
  • Seattle has posted 20.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 21.2 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 13 over their last 10.