Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Toronto Blue Jays are making a road trip to Baltimore to face their divisional rival Orioles at Camden Yards. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will broadcast the matchup.

Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Odds

The Orioles are 43-106 straight up (SU) and 60-88 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 54.1 units for moneyline bettors and 40.8 units (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Blue Jays are 67-82 SU and have gone 64-84 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.3 units for moneyline gamblers and 31.1 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in three of those seven.

Orioles games have a 66-77-5 over/under record in 2018. Toronto has been a good over bet with a total record of 76-63-9.

Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 5.23 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.42, along with a K-per-9 of 8.99.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .245/.315/.427 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Toronto’s hitters have been led by first baseman Justin Smoak and right fielder Kevin Pillar. Smoak is slashing .248/.354/.466 with 24 home runs, 75 RBIs and 64 runs scored. Pillar (.246/.276/.413) is up to 13 homers, 55 RBIs, 59 runs and 14 stolen bases.

In the other dugout, Baltimore’s pitchers have given up 5.5 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.50, a WHIP of 1.50 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.1. The bullpen has a 4.81 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 8.2 K/9. In 67 divisional games, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.74 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.91.

The Baltimore hitters are putting up 3.9 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over their last five. The team has hit .234/.301/.342 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.

The Orioles’ hitters have been led by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is hitting .285/.317/.430 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini’s line is .240/.299/.414 with 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 63 runs.

The Orioles have lost 5.3 units and are 23-25 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 21 of those games, compared to 26 that’ve gone under against lefties.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Blue Jays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • Toronto has tallied 13 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Baltimore has nine XBH over its last five.
  • Toronto has posted 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 19.2 over its last five.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit seven over their last 10.