Toronto Blue Jays at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles are playing host to their AL East foe Toronto Blue Jays at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will televise the action. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Toronto (-110) is favored against Baltimore (+100) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the most recent odds standing at Blue Jays -1.5 runs (+135) and Orioles +1.5 runs (-155).

The Blue Jays have gone 68-82 SU this year and are 65-84 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.3 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 30.1 units ATS. Toronto has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Orioles, on the other hand, are 43-107 SU and 61-88 ATS. The team has lost 53.0 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 39.8 units ATS. Baltimore has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have had an over/under record of 67-77-5 in 2018. Toronto has been a decent over bet with a total record of 76-64-9.

Aaron Sanchez will get the nod for the visiting Blue Jays. The right-handed Sanchez is 4-6 with a 4.90 ERA and 85 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with nine strikeouts and a 1.88 ERA against Baltimore this year (two starts).

The Orioles will send righty Dylan Bundy (8-14, 5.48 ERA) to the mound. Bundy has 166 strikeouts and 49 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.40. Bundy is 0-2 with 16 strikeouts and a 7.88 ERA across three starts against Toronto this year.

Baltimore’s pitchers have allowed 5.5 runs per game overall this season as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has a 5.52 ERA, 1.50 WHIP and 7.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.78 ERA, 1.53 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 68 games against divisional opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.79 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.84.

The Baltimore offense has produced 3.8 runs per contest, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .245/.310/.352 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Orioles’ batters have been led by outfielders Adam Jones and Trey Mancini. Jones is slashing .283/.314/.426 with 15 home runs, 58 RBIs and 53 runs scored, while Mancini is hitting .239 with 23 homers, 53 RBIs and 63 runs scored.

For the visiting squad, Toronto’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.17 ERA, 1.43 WHIP and 7.61 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.41, along with a WHIP of 1.43 and a K-per-9 of 9.02.

Blue Jays hitters have slashed .244/.315/.427 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game this season, including 3.9 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

First baseman Justin Smoak and outfielder Kevin Pillar have led Toronto’s hitters. Smoak is slashing .248/.354/.466 with 24 home runs, 75 RBIs and 64 runs scored, while Pillar (.248/.277/.421) is up to 14 homers, 56 RBIs, 61 runs and 14 steals.

The Blue Jays have gained 9.1 units and are 44-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 52 of those games, as opposed to 43 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 47.6 units and are 38-63 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in just two of Toronto’s last seven contests.
  • The Blue Jays have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
  • Toronto has posted 20.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 21.0 over its last five.