Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Texas Rangers are making a road trip to Safeco Field to take on their AL West foe Seattle Mariners. The matchup begins at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can watch it on both RTNW and FSSW.

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Odds

Vegas has listed Seattle (-165) as the favorite over Texas (+155). Gamblers can wager on the games total with odds sitting at +100 for over 8.5 runs and -120 for under 8.5. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -140 for the Rangers +1.5 runs and +120 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Rangers are only 22-33 SU and are 22-32 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.9 units for moneyline gamblers and 14.8 units ATS. Texas is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in three of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 32-20 SU and 28-23 ATS. The teams gained 10.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in six of those seven.

Mariners games have a 27-24 over/under record so far in 2018. The Rangers have an over/under record of 26-23-5.

Right-hander Doug Fister is the projected starter for the visiting Rangers. Fister is 1-4 with a 4.22 ERA and 35 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners are handing the ball to lefty Marco Gonzales (4-3, 4.05 ERA), who has 49 punchouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 1.35 WHIP. Gonzales only made one start against the Rangers in 2017 (1-0, 5.40 ERA and six strikeouts across five innings).

As a unit, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.1 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.20 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 8.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.55 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 21 games against AL West opponents, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.30 and the bullpens ERA is 4.22.

The Seattle offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .253/.303/.343 over its last five matchups and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Jean Segura and right fielder Dee Gordon have led the Mariners hitters this year. Segura is slashing .324/.341/.465 with four home runs, 34 RBIs, 36 runs and 12 stolen bases, while Gordon’s line is .304/.330/.386 with 56 hits, 13 RBIs, 25 runs and 16 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Texas pitchers have allowed 5.4 runs per game and its starters own a 5.30 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.15 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.03, along with a WHIP of 1.45.

Rangers hitters have slashed .227/.304/.393 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.8 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Texas hitters have been powered by Nomar Mazara and Shin-soo Choo, who collectively have blasted 20 home runs. Mazara is hitting .270/.338/.500 with 12 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Choo (.260/.361/.426) has produced eight homers, 23 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of just .196/.224/.286 across 58 such plate appearances, Mazara did not do as well batting against lefties on the road in 2017 (compared to his overall season slash line of .253/.323/.422).

The Rangers have lost 1.8 units and are 6-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 10.1 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 20 of those games, compared to 14 which went under the total.

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Mariners have won eight of their last nine games SU.
  • Texas has posted 19.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 23.0 over its last five.
  • The Rangers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games, including eight over their last five.