Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Texas Rangers will be squaring off against their divisional rival Seattle Mariners at Safeco Field. The matchup begins at 10:10 p.m. ET and you can watch it on both RTNW and FSSW.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Oddsmakers are listing Texas (+165) as the underdog to Seattle (-175). The total is sitting at 8.5 runs and bettors can take the over or the under for -110. Bettors can also wager on the games runline with the current odds coming in at Rangers +1.5 runs (-135) and Mariners -1.5 runs (+115).

The Mariners are 33-20 SU and 29-23 ATS. They’ve gained 11.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 4.5 units against the spread (ATS). The Rangers have gone 22-34 SU this year and are 22-33 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 3.9 units for moneyline bettors and 15.8 units ATS.

Neither squad has been a strong over/under bet this season. Mariners games have an over/under record of 27-25 so far in 2018. The Rangers have an over/under record of 26-24-5.

Right-hander Austin Bibens-Dirkx is getting the nod for Texas. Bibens-Dirkx is 0-1 with a 5.68 ERA and six strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners will send righty Felix Hernandez (5-4, 5.58 ERA) to the hill. Hernandez has 51 punchouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.39 WHIP. Hernandez is 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.38 ERA over one starts against Texas this year.

Texas pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.25 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.07 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.99, along with a K/9 of 8.12.

Rangers hitters have slashed .227/.304/.390 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.6 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

Texas offense has been led by Nomar Mazara and Shin-soo Choo, who collectively have launched 20 home runs. Mazara is hitting .264/.332/.490 with 12 home runs, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored, while Choo has a .261 average with eight homers, 23 RBIs and 32 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Seattle’s pitching staff has allowed 4.1 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.11 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.50 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 22 games against divisional opponents, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpens ERA is 4.09.

The Seattle hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over their last five. The teams hit .261/.312/.348 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Mariners batters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .324/.341/.465 with four home runs, 34 RBIs, 36 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Gordons line is .304/.330/.386 with 56 hits, 13 RBIs, 25 runs and 16 stolen bases.

The Rangers have lost 2.1 units and are 16-23 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 17 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 11.2 units and are 20-15 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in 20 of those games, as opposed to 15 that’ve gone under.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in three of Texas’ last seven games.
  • The Mariners have won nine of their last 10 games SU.
  • Texas has posted 17.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.
  • The Rangers have hit 13 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit eight over their last 10.