Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Seattle Mariners are playing host to their division rival Texas Rangers at Safeco Field. The opening pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on both RTNW and FSSW.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (-230) is favored over Texas (+210) and oddsmakers have set the Over/Under for this game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the games total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The games runline odds stand at -105 for betting the Rangers +1.5 runs and -115 for the Mariners -1.5.

The Rangers have gone 23-34 SU this year and are 23-33 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 4.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 14.8 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mariners, on the other hand, are 33-21 SU and 29-24 ATS. The teams gained 12.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 3.5 units ATS. Seattle has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in all seven of them.

Neither squad has been a strong over/under play this year. Seattle games have a 27-26 over/under record so far in 2018. Texas has an over/under record of 26-25-5.

Left-hander Matt Moore is the probable starter for Texas. Moore is 1-5 with a 7.99 ERA and 33 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Mariners this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Mariners will put the ball in the left hand of James Paxton (4-1, 3.10 ERA), who’s got 90 strikeouts and 20 walks this season as well as a 0.96 WHIP. Paxton is 0-0 with six strikeouts and an 11.25 ERA over one starts against Texas this year.

Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The teams starting pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.62 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.4 K/9. In 23 games against divisional foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.26 and the bullpens ERA is 4.33.

The Seattle hitters have produced 4.3 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .262/.303/.375 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.

The Mariners hitters have been led by shortstop Jean Segura and outfielder Dee Gordon. Segura is hitting .330/.346/.472 with four home runs, 35 RBIs, 37 runs and 12 stolen bases, and Gordon is batting .304 with 56 hits, 13 RBIs, 25 runs and 16 stolen bases.

In the visiting dugout, Texas pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.29 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 7.11 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.95, along with a WHIP of 1.46.

The Rangers offense has slashed .229/.308/.393 on its way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the teams last five contests (3-2 SU).

Nomar Mazara and Shin-soo Choo continue to lead Texas offense. Mazara is hitting .269/.338/.500 with 12 home runs, 34 RBIs and 31 runs scored, while Choo (.261/.367/.436) has produced nine homers, 24 RBIs and 33 runs scored.

The Rangers have lost 2.8 units and are 7-10 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, as opposed to five that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 0.3 units and are 9-8 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Rangers have hit 14 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit nine over their last 10.
  • Seattle has recorded 19.7 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 outings and 20.8 over its last five.