Texas Rangers vs. San Diego Padres Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The San Diego Padres will play host to the Texas Rangers at PETCO Park. Fox Sports Southwest will be showing this interleague matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 4:10 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers at San Diego Padres Odds

San Diego (+110) is the home-team underdog to Texas (-120) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). The game’s most recent runline odds stand at +125 for taking the Rangers -1.5 runs and -145 for the Padres +1.5 runs.

The Rangers have gone 64-84 SU this year and are 72-75 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 5.4 units for moneyline bettors and 7.8 units ATS. Texas is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Padres, on the other hand, are 59-90 SU and 71-77 ATS. They’ve lost 12.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 28.4 units ATS. San Diego has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven.

San Diego games have an over/under record of 70-73-5 in 2018. Texas has an over/under record of 69-68-10.

The left-handed Mike Minor is the projected starter for Texas. Minor is 12-7 with a 4.19 ERA and 121 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against San Diego this year.

The Padres are handing the ball to righty Jacob Nix (2-3, 6.00 ERA), who has 16 strikeouts and nine walks, as well as a WHIP of 1.43. Nix hasn’t faced the Rangers yet this year and did not record any MLB pitching stats last season.

As a unit, San Diego’s pitching staff has given up 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 5.13, a WHIP of 1.46 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.3. The bullpen has a 3.56 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 10.1 K/9.

The San Diego offense has put up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.7 per game over its last 10 games and 3.4 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .231/.309/.379 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.

The Padres’ batters have been led by first baseman Eric Hosmer and shortstop Freddy Galvis. Hosmer is hitting .250/.316/.400 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs and 69 runs scored, while Galvis is hitting .233 with 11 homers, 60 RBIs and 51 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Texas’ pitchers have allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starters own a 5.43 ERA, 1.44 WHIP and 6.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.25, along with a WHIP of 1.44.

Rangers hitters have slashed .242/.324/.409 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Shin-soo Choo and Jurickson Profar continue to lead Texas’ hitters. Choo is slashing .270/.383/.448 with 21 home runs, 62 RBIs and 80 runs scored. Profar (.256/.339/.456) is up to 17 homers, 73 RBIs and 77 runs scored.

The Rangers have lost 1.8 units and are 50-49 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 45 of those games, as opposed to 49 that’ve hit the under against righties. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 12.6 units and are 18-29 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has cashed in 26 of those games, compared to 19 that went under the total.

Texas Rangers vs. San Diego Padres Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Padres, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in three of Texas’ last seven games.
  • The Rangers have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games. The Padres have hit 14 over their last 10.
  • Texas has recorded 17.8 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.