Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Free Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Texas Rangers are paying a visit to Seattle to face off against their division rival Mariners at Safeco Field. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. ET and the matchup will be televised on either RTNW or FSSW.

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Odds

Seattle (-140) is favored over Texas (+130) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 8.5 runs. Odds for betting on the games total sit at -110 for both the over and the under. Gamblers can also bet on the games runline with the most recent odds standing at -170 for the Rangers +1.5 runs and +150 for the Mariners -1.5 runs.

The Mariners are 23-17 SU and 23-16 ATS. The teams gained 4.8 units for moneyline bettors and 6.1 units against the spread (ATS). The Rangers have gone 16-26 SU this year and are 16-26 ATS. In total, the teams lost 2.9 units for moneyline gamblers through the early part of the season and 14.2 units ATS.

Seattle games have an over/under record of 24-15 thus far in 2018. Rangers games have gone over 21 times, gone under 18 times and pushed on three occasions.

The southpaw Mike Minor will get the start for the visiting Rangers. Minor is 3-2 with a 4.72 ERA and 32 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with six strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA against Seattle this year.

The Mariners are turning to righty Mike Leake (4-3, 5.72 ERA), who has 32 punchouts and 16 walks as well as a 1.51 WHIP. Leake has yet to face the Rangers this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 1-0 record with a 1.46 ERA and 10 strikeouts.

As a unit, Seattle’s pitchers have allowed 4.5 runs per game overall in 2018. The teams starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.85, a WHIP of 1.36 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 4.10 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 10.2 K/9. In 16 games against divisional foes, Mariners starters have an ERA of 4.85 and the bullpens ERA is 4.83.

The Seattle offense has produced 4.6 runs per contest, including 4.1 per game against divisional foes and 5.2 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .282/.368/.463 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

The Mariners offense has been led by outfielder Mitch Haniger and second baseman Robinson Cano. Haniger is hitting .285/.373/.563 with 10 home runs, 30 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Cano’s line sits at .287/.385/.441 with four homers, 23 RBIs and 24 runs.

Haniger didn’t do as well hitting against lefties at home last season, slashing .231/.286/.442 in 56 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .282/.352/.491).

For the visiting squad, Texas pitching staff allowed 5.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 5.15 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 7.22 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.35, along with a WHIP of 1.47 and a K/9 of 8.33.

Rangers hitters have slashed .229/.300/.392 on their way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.0 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.4 per game over the teams last five contests (2-3 SU).

Texas offense has been led by right fielder Nomar Mazara and third baseman Adrian Beltre. Mazara is hitting .284/.343/.523 with 10 home runs, 26 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Beltre is hitting .314/.375/.422 with one homers, 12 RBIs and 11 runs scored.

Maintaining a slash line of .206/.276/.360 across 301 plate appearances, Mazara did not do especially well on the road in 2017 (compared to his total season slash line of .253/.323/.422).

The Rangers have gained 0.5 units and are 12-17 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 14 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Mariners have netted 0.1 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The overs hit in six of those games, as opposed to eight that’ve cashed the under.

Texas Rangers at Seattle Mariners Free MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Mariners, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has hit in only two of Texas’ last seven games.
  • Seattle has recorded 23.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 25.2 over its last five.
  • The Rangers have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games. The Mariners have hit 10 over their last 10.