Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Free Pick

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The Boston Red Sox will look to avoid losing their fourth straight game as they play host to the Texas Rangers at Fenway Park. Fox Sports Southwest will televise this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 4:05 p.m. ET.

Texas Rangers at Boston Red Sox Odds

Texas (receiving +145) is entering this game as the underdog to Boston (-155) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon game at 10 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently sit at -105 for the under and -115 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Rangers +1.5 runs (-150) and Red Sox -1.5 runs (+130).

The Red Sox are 34-34 straight up (SU) and 28-39 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 15.5 units for moneyline bettors and 14.6 units ATS. Boston has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven. The Rangers are 36-30 SU and have gone 39-26 against the spread. Overall, the team’s accumulated 13.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.3 units ATS. Texas has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Boston games have had an over/under record of 36-29-2 so far in 2019. The Rangers have an over/under record of 32-32-1.

Lance Lynn will get the nod for the Rangers. The right-handed Lynn is 7-4 with a 4.39 ERA and 85 strikeouts. This is his first outing against Boston this year. He made two starts against the Red Sox in 2018, putting together a 2-0 record against them with a 1.93 ERA and nine strikeouts.

The Red Sox are turning to Rick Porcello (4-6, 4.86 ERA). Porcello has 60 strikeouts and 24 walks, along with a 1.41 WHIP. Porcello only made one start against the Rangers in 2018 (1-0, 1.50 ERA and eight strikeouts across six innings).

As a unit, Boston’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2019. Its starters have an ERA of 4.59, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.7. The bullpen has a 4.20 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 10.5 K/9.

The Boston hitters are putting up 5.2 runs per outing, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 3.2 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .224/.290/.365 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

The Red Sox batters have been led by third baseman Rafael Devers and shortstop Xander Bogaerts. Devers is slashing .293/.352/.479 with nine home runs, 42 RBIs, 47 runs and eight stolen bases, and Bogaerts is hitting .294 with 13 homers, 43 RBIs and 51 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Texas’ pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.92 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 8.73 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.81, along with a K-per-9 of 7.99.

Rangers hitters have slashed .258/.337/.451 on their way to 5.7 runs scored per game this season, including 5.9 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.8 per game over the team’s last five outings (4-1 SU).

Texas’ hitters have been paced by Elvis Andrus and Shin-soo Choo. The speedy Andrus is slashing .302/.341/.460 with six home runs, 34 RBIs, 36 runs and 13 stolen bases, while Choo is hitting .288/.378/.515 with 11 homers, 28 RBIs and 43 runs scored.

The Rangers have gained 10.6 units and are 25-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 21 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Red Sox have lost 3.7 units and are 22-24 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 25 of those games, compared to 20 that went under the total.

Rangers vs. Red Sox MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Red Sox, ATS Winner – Rangers, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The over has hit in just two of Texas’ last seven games.
  • The Rangers have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
  • The Rangers have an OPS of .788 this season and an OPS of .814 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Red Sox’ OPS sits at .774 overall and .789 versus righties.
  • Texas has recorded 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 26.0 over its last five.
  • The Rangers have won four of their last five games SU while the Red Sox have dropped five of their last six.