Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders – 11/10/2018 Free Betting Pick

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The No. 15 Texas Longhorns (+1) are set to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders at Jones AT&T Stadium. Fans can catch the action live on FOX and kickoff for this pivotal conference matchup is pegged for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Betting Preview: Texas Longhorns at Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech is a live dog in this one and is currently getting 1 point. The Longhorns are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Red Raiders are -105. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 64.5 points. If one program can catch a lucky break early, it will likely produce a nice betting scenario in-game.

The Longhorns are 3-6 against the spread (ATS) and are down 0.9 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under record of 5-4.

The surprising Red Raiders have gained 5.6 units this season. The team is 6-3 ATS and the over’s hit in seven of its games.

The Longhorns are 6-3 straight up (SU), including 4-2 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Red Raiders are 5-4 SU overall and are also 3-3 SU in conference play.

These two teams met a year ago with the final result being a 27-23 victory for Texas Tech.

Each team comes into the matchup on a two-game losing skid. The Longhorns are most-recently on the rebound after a thin 42-41 defeat to West Virginia last week. The passing game was sharp as Sam Ehlinger completed 25-of-36 passes for 354 yards and three touchdowns. Tre Watson (80 rushing yards on 14 attempts, one TD) and Keaontay Ingram (30 yards on 13 carries) led the ground attack while Lil’Jordan Humphrey (nine receptions, 143 yards, one TD) and Devin Duvernay (six catches, 100 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

One week ago, Oklahoma knocked off this Texas Tech crew by a score of 51-46. The Red Raiders defense allowed the Sooners to pass for 360 yards and three touchdowns while rushing for 323 yards and four scores. Trey Sermon torched the defense, recording 206 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 26 attempts for Oklahoma. As a group, the Red Raiders collectively completed 30-of-44 passes for 366 yards and four touchdowns. Alan Bowman went 21-for-26 for 227 yards and two touchdowns while Jett Duffey was nine-of-17 for 139 yards and two touchdowns. Jett Duffey (47 yards on 13 rush attempts, one TD) and Da’Leon Ward (53 yards on eight carries, one TD) handled the running game while Antoine Wesley (12 receptions, 199 yards) and T.J. Vasher (six catches, 42 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack in the loss.

Texas has run the ball on 52.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Texas Tech has a rush percentage of 45.3 percent. The Longhorns have produced 155.3 rush yards/game (including 142.5 per game against Big 12 opponents) and have 16 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Red Raiders are logging 146.6 rush yards per game (132.0 in conference) and have 25 total rushing TDs.

The Longhorns offensive scheme has logged 266.3 yards/game through the air overall (277.2 per game against conference opposition) and has 18 passing TDs so far. The Red Raiders have produced a ridiculous 375.6 pass yards per contest (339 against Big 12 competition) and have 22 total pass scores.

Defensively, Texas seems to have the upper hand in both facets. The team has let opponents run for an average of 144.2 yards and throw for 256.4 yards per game. The Texas Tech D has allowed 291.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 160.7 yards per game on the ground. The Longhorns are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.44 to opponents, while the Red Raiders have allowed a 6.95 ANY/A.

Offensively, Ehlinger is up to 1,888 passing yards on the year. The signal-caller has completed 161-of-243 attempts with 14 passing scores and only two interceptions. Ehlinger has a 7.92 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 9.05 over the last two games.

As a group, Lil’Jordan Humphrey, Devin Duvernay and Tre Watson have combined to account for 514 yards from scrimmage and five touchdowns over the last couple of outings.

In the home locker room, Alan Bowman has managed to complete 195-of-271 passes for 2,315 yards, 16 TDs and four INTs. Bowman’s ANY/A stands at 8.64 for the year and 5.36 over his last two games.

Antoine Wesley (1,057 receiving yards, six receiving touchdowns on the year), Da’Leon Ward (175 rush yards, three rush TDs, 87 receiving yards, one receiving TD) and T.J. Vasher (404 receiving yards, five receiving TDs) have combined for 602 total yards and four touchdowns the past two games.

Texas Longhorns vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders Bedding Prediction

SU Winner: Texas Tech, ATS Winner: Texas Tech, O/U: Over

Team Betting Trends

  • The Texas Tech D has registered 17 sacks on the year while Texas has 15.
  • The Texas Tech offense has lost three fumbles in 2018 while Texas has let four get away.
  • The Longhorns offense has registered five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Red Raiders have put up 10 such plays.
  • The Texas defense has allowed 11 pass plays of 40+ yards, while Texas Tech has given up 12 such plays.
  • The Texas offense has created four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while Texas Tech has created 10 such runs.
  • The Longhorns defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Red Raiders have given up 15 such runs.
  • The O/U for Texas Tech’s previous game was set at 77.5. The over cashed in the 51-46 defeat to Oklahoma.
  • In its last three games, Texas Tech is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
  • Over its last three contests, Texas is 0-3 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
  • The Over/Under for Texas’ last game was set at 57.5. The over cashed in the team’s 42-41 loss to West Virginia.
  • As a team, Texas has produced 4.1 yards per carry across its last three games and 4.1 over its last two.
  • Texas Tech has averaged 2.9 yards per carry over its last three contests and 2.7 over its last two.