Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins: Free Week 1 Betting Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The Tennessee Titans (+1) will get the 2018 season underway against the Miami Dolphins at Hard Rock Stadium. Kickoff for this game is set for 1:00 p.m. ET and FOX is in line to have the TV rights. When these two squads met last year, Miami won by a pair of field goals 16-10.

Betting Preview: Miami Dolphins vs. Tennessee Titans

In this Sunday AFC game, Miami has been labeled as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 1 point. The Titans are also receiving -115 moneyline odds while the Dolphins are -105. If one squad can find paydirt early it will result in a nice betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 45 points.

This game’s O/U was originally set at 46.5, but the under is getting most of the early sharp action.

The Dolphins finished 6-10 straight up (SU) in 2017 while the Titans posted a record of 10-8 last season. Against conference competition, the Titans finished 8-4 SU while the Dolphins were 5-7 SU against American Football Conference teams. Both teams posted a 1-3 record SU against out-of-conference competition in 2017.

The Titans averaged 225.0 passing yards per game and 111.8 rushing yards per game against their four out-of-conference opponents last year. They was able to score 21.5 points per game against those opponents while giving up 22.8 per contest. Against AFC competition, they scored an average of 20.7 points and allowed an average of 22.1 points. Their offense produced 207.8 pass yards per game and 115.5 rush yards per game.

When taking the field against out-of-conference competition, the Dolphins passed for 223.3 yards per game and rushed for 94.8 per game on their way to 15.3 points per matchup. When facing American Football Conference opponents, the offense recorded 18.3 points per game by averaging 241.6 pass yards and 84.1 rushing yards. The Dolphins defense gave up 28.0 PPG to non-conference foes and 23.4 PPG to conference teams,

It appears that the Titans might have an edge in terms of RB effectiveness. Their running backs logged 4.1 yards per carry last season while their defense allowed a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Dolphins rushed for 3.9 yards per carry last year and gave up a YPC of 4.1 to opposing runners..

Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins NFL Pick

SU Winner: Dolphins, ATS Winner: Titans, O/U: Over

Betting Notes

  • The Tennessee offense allowed 35 sacks last season. Their defense created 43 sacks.
  • Dolphins quarterbacks were sacked 33 times last season. Their defense logged 30 sacks,
  • Tennessee created 18 rushing touchdowns last season.
  • Miami put up four rushing touchdowns last season.
  • Tennessee only converted 14 passing touchdowns last season.
  • Miami logged 24 passing touchdowns last season.