Tennessee Titans vs. Dallas Cowboys: Week 9 Free Betting Pick

Jose VasquezArticles, Football, NFL

The Tennessee Titans and Dallas Cowboys will go head-to-head on the turf at AT&T Stadium. ESPN is scheduled to broadcast the action and this Monday Night Football showdown kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET.

Thursday NightBetting Preview: Tennessee Titans vs. Dallas Cowboys

Tennessee is the road underdog in this matchup and is currently getting 7 points. The Titans are also receiving +230 moneyline odds while the Cowboys are -280. If one squad catches a lucky break early it’ll result in a nice in-game betting opportunity. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at 40.5 points.

Early action has leaned to both the Cowboys and the under. The opening line was initially -5 and the game’s O/U was placed originally at 42.

The Titans have gained 0.1 units so far in 2018 and are 4-3 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an Over-Under record of 2-5.

The Cowboys are down 0.9 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-4-1 ATS and also have an O/U record of 2-5.

The Titans are 3-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Cowboys are also 3-4 SU.

The Titans are most-recently on the rebound after a thin 20-19 defeat to the Chargers in Week 7. Marcus Mariota completed 24 passes on 32 attempts for 237 yards, as well as a score and a pick. Dion Lewis (91 yards on 13 rush attempts) and Derrick Henry (33 yards on 12 carries, one TD) led the running attack while Tajae Sharpe (seven receptions, 101 yards) and Lewis (six catches, 64 yards) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.

A couple of weeks ago in Week 7, Washington got the win against this Dallas crew by a score of 20-17. The Cowboys defense allowed the Redskins to kill the clock by rushing for 130 yards on 32 attempts. Adrian Peterson put up a good outing in the win, recording 99 rushing yards on 24 attempts for Washington. For Dallas, Dak Prescott completed 22-of-35 passes for 273 yards and one touchdown. Ezekiel Elliott (33 rushing yards on 15 attempts) led the running game while Cole Beasley (seven receptions, 56 yards) and Allen Hurns (five catches, 74 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Looking at offensive play-calling, each team sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. Tennessee has run the ball on 49.4 percent of its offensive possessions while Dallas has an overall rush percentage of 48.5. The Titans have run for 107.9 yards/game and have three scores on the ground this year. The Cowboys are averaging 136.9 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.

It appears that the Cowboys should hold an edge when it comes to efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.9 yards per carry while their defense has allowed a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Titans have rushed for 3.9 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.1 to opponents.

The Titans offense has averaged 192.3 yards in the air overall and has five passing scores so far. The Cowboys have produced 202.4 pass yards per outing and have eight total pass TDs.

Defensively, Tennessee has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 112.3 yards and throw for 238.4 yards per game. The Dallas D has allowed 234.4 yards per game to opposing passers and 96.3 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Titans have given up an ANY/A of 6.36 to opposing QBs, while the Cowboys are yielding an ANY/A of 6.63.

Prescott has completed 111-of-179 passes for 1,234 yards, six TDs and four INTs. Prescott’s adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 5.28 for the season and 6.99 over his last two games. In the other huddle, Mariota has amassed 913 passing yards this year. He’s connected on 89-of-135 attempts with three passing touchdowns and five interceptions. Mariota’s got a 4.92 ANY/A, including 4.20 over the last two games.

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys Free Betting Pick

SU Winner: Cowboys, ATS Winner: Cowboys, O/U: Under

Betting Notes

  • As a team, Tennessee has produced 4.4 yards per carry over its past three games and 4.7 over its last two.
  • Dallas has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.4 over its last two.
  • The Dallas offense has lost four fumbles this season while Tennessee has let two get away.
  • The Titans offense has produced two pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Cowboys have put up four such plays.
  • The Tennessee defense has allowed four pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Dallas has given up three such plays.
  • The Tennessee offense has created three rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Dallas has created five such runs.
  • The Titans defense has allowed two rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Cowboys have given up four such runs.
  • The Dallas defensive unit has sacked opposing QBs 19 times this year. Tennessee has recorded 15 sacks.