The New England Patriots (-5) are coming into the Wild Card Round of the NFL Playoffs as favorites as they prepare to take on the Tennessee Titans. The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET and CBS has the TV rights.
Betting Preview: New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans
In this Saturday AFC game, New England is getting picked as the favorite and the team’s currently giving up 5 points. In order to take the home favorite, moneyline bettors would currently need to put down $200 to win $100 back on the Pats (-200). The Titans are getting +170 moneyline odds. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 44 points, and if one side can catch a lucky break early, it would likely generate a nice live betting opportunity.
This game’s over/under was originally set at 42, but the over is getting most of the early sharp action.
Each of these teams has posted a good return this year as the Titans have recorded 1.9 units and the Patriots are up 3.4 units.
The Titans have gone 9-7 straight up (SU) in 2019 while the Patriots are 12-4 SU.
These two teams faced off last year with the final result being a 34-10 win for Tennessee.
The Titans are coming off a resounding 35-14 victory over Houston in Week 17. Ryan Tannehill completed 13 passes for 198 yards and two touchdowns. Derrick Henry (211 yards on 32 rush attempts, three TDs) led the ground attack. A.J. Brown (four receptions, 124 yards, one TD) and Corey Davis (four catches, 44 yards) shared the receiving duties in the win.
New England narrowly dropped a 27-24 game to Miami a week ago. Tom Brady completed 16-of-29 passes for 221 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Sony Michel (74 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) handled the running game while James White (three receptions, 33 yards, one TD) and Julian Edelman (three catches, 26 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the loss.
Tennessee has run the ball on 49.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while New England has a rush percentage of 41.9 percent. The Titans have produced 138.9 rush yards/game and have 21 scores on the ground this year. The Pats are logging 106.4 rush yards per game and have 17 total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Titans might hold an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has logged 5.0 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents. The Patriots have registered 3.8 yards per carry and given up a YPC of 4.2 to opponents.
The Titans offense has averaged 247.3 yards in the air overall and has 29 passing TDs so far. The Pats have produced 259.6 pass yards per contest and have 25 total pass scores.
Tennessee has let opponents run for an average of 104.5 yards and pass for 272.3 yards per game. The New England D has allowed 200.9 yards per game to opposing passers and 95.5 yards per game to opposing runners. The Pats are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 3.47 to opposing QBs, while the Titans have given up a 6.16 ANY/A.
Tannehill has been more productive than Brady lately, as his adjusted net yards per pass attempt sits at 8.39for the season (and 10.50 over the past two outings). Brady’s ANY/A is 6.10 for the year and 7.98 over his last two games.
Tennessee Titans vs. New England Patriots NFL Pick
SU Winner: Patriots, ATS Winner: Patriots, O/U: Over
- The New England defense has recorded 47 sacks on the year while Tennessee has 43.
- New England has lost six fumbles this season while the Tennessee offense has lost nine.
- The Titans offense has created 15 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Patriots have put up six such plays.
- The Tennessee defense has allowed eight pass plays of 40 or more yards, while New England has given up four such plays.
- The Tennessee offense has created 14 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while New England has created six such runs.
- The Titans defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Patriots have given up four such runs.
- The O/U for New England’s previous matchup going into it was 45. The over cashed in that 27-24 defeat to Miami.
- In its last three matches, New England is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
- Over its last three matches, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
- The O/U for Tennessee’s last game going into it was 43. The over cashed in the team’s 35-14 win over Houston.
- As a team, Tennessee has rushed for 6.0 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 6.1 over its last two.
- New England has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over its last three games and 4.5 over its past two.