Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Free Pick

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The New York Yankees are set to host their division rival Tampa Bay Rays at Yankee Stadium. YES Network will be airing the matchup. The opening pitch will be at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-150) as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+140). Bettors can wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at +105 for over nine runs and -125 for under nine. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds sitting at -155 for the Rays +1.5 runs and +135 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Yankees are 59-32 straight up (SU) and 53-37 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 10.2 units for moneyline bettors and 17.7 units ATS. New York has covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Rays are 55-40 SU and have gone 50-44 against the spread. In total, the club has lost 2.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 1.9 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.

Yankees games have had an over/under record of 48-39-3 so far in 2019. Tampa Bay has been a decent under bet with a total record of 40-48-6.

Blake Snell will get the start for the Rays. The left-handed Snell (5-7, 4.70 ERA) has recorded 122 strikeouts in 89 innings so far. He’s 0-2 with 26 strikeouts and a 5.29 ERA against New York this year (four starts).

The Yankees are countering with James Paxton (5-4, 4.01 ERA). Paxton has 95 strikeouts and 30 walks, along with a 1.43 WHIP. Paxton is 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 3.00 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

As a unit, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.3 runs per game overall in 2019. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.14, a WHIP of 1.25 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 10.0 K/9. In 41 games against divisional opponents, Yankees starters have an ERA of 3.89 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.44.

New York’s hitters have produced 5.6 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game against divisional foes and 2.6 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .250/.324/.390 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Yankees’ offense has been led by second baseman DJ LeMahieu and shortstop Gleyber Torres. LeMahieu is slashing .330/.375/.504 with 12 home runs, 64 RBIs and 65 runs scored, and Torres is batting .292 with 19 homers, 50 RBIs and 57 runs.

In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.95 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and 10.08 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.73, along with a WHIP of 1.04.

The Rays offense has slashed .255/.328/.431 on its way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 4.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (4-1 SU).

Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia. Pham is slashing .282/.381/.474 with 15 home runs, 42 RBIs, 45 runs and nine steals, while Garcia is slashing .280/.334/.447 with 12 homers, 45 RBIs, 41 runs and nine steals.

The Rays have gained 1.1 units and are 19-15 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 12 of those games, as opposed to 21 that’ve hit the under against lefties. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 2.9 units and are 14-11 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 12 of those games, compared to 12 that’ve gone under.

Rays at Yankees MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven games.
  • The Rays have hit 17 home runs in their last 10 games, including 11 over their last five.
  • The Rays have an OPS of .758 this season and an OPS of .723 when facing left-handed pitchers. The Yankees’ OPS stands at .804 overall and .718 against lefties.
  • New York has recorded 23.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 19.0 over its last five.
  • The Rays have won five of their last six games SU.