Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Free Pick

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The Tampa Bay Rays will head west to take on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium of Anaheim. The first pitch is scheduled for 10:07 p.m. ET and Fox Sports Sun will be airing this AL showdown.

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Los Angeles (+115) as the underdog to Tampa Bay (-125). If you think this game’s total will go under 8.5 runs, bookmakers are currently offering -120 odds. Picking the over will give you even money (+100). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at Rays -1.5 runs (+120) and Angels +1.5 runs (-140).

The Angels are 67-80 straight up (SU) and 73-74 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 20.0 units for moneyline bettors and 3.9 units ATS. Los Angeles has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Rays are 87-61 SU and have gone 76-71 ATS. Overall, the team’s gained 0.5 units for moneyline bettors, but have lost 4.3 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread six times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Los Angeles games have an over/under record of 70-66-11 in 2019. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 70-69-8.

Right-hander Charlie Morton is getting the start for the visiting Rays. Morton is 14-6 with a 3.11 ERA and 219 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 6.00 ERA against Los Angeles this year.

The Angels are going with lefty Andrew Heaney (4-4, 4.30 ERA), who has 100 strikeouts and 25 walks to his credit, along with a WHIP of 1.19. Heaney is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.80 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

Los Angeles’ pitching staff has allowed 5.3 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 5.48, a WHIP of 1.37 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.5. The bullpen has a 4.68 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 9.1 K/9.

The Los Angeles offense has put up 4.9 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game over its last 10 games and 2.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .206/.307/.345 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that span.

David Fletcher and Mike Trout have led the Angels’ hitters this year. Fletcher is hitting .290/.352/.390 with five home runs, 45 RBIs and 76 runs scored, while Trout’s line is .291/.438/.645 with 45 homers, 104 RBIs and 110 runs.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 4.0 runs per game and its starters own a 3.57 ERA, 1.13 WHIP and 10.25 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.76, along with a WHIP of 1.13.

Rays hitters have slashed .255/.329/.432 on their way to 4.7 runs scored per game in 2019, including 5.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Tampa Bay’s offensive production has been sparked by Tommy Pham and Austin Meadows. Pham is hitting .278/.376/.461 with 20 home runs, 63 RBIs, 69 runs and 20 stolen bases, while Meadows is hitting .287/.355/.555 with 29 homers, 82 RBIs and 72 runs scored.

The Rays have lost 2.3 units and are 29-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, as opposed to 27 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Angels have lost 5.3 units and are 51-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, as opposed to 41 which went under the total.

Rays at Angels MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Rays, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • Tampa Bay has recorded 19 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Los Angeles has 11 XBH over its last five.
  • The Rays have a total OPS of .760 this season, including an OPS of .751 against left-handed pitchers. The Angels’ OPS sits at .760 overall and .732 against southpaws.
  • Los Angeles has posted 17.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 16.4 over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Angels have hit 15 over their last 10.