Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Free Pick

The Tampa Bay Rays are heading north to face their AL East rival New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. The action can be viewed across the country on Fox Sports One and the game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees Odds

Oddsmakers have listed New York (-155) as the favorite over Tampa Bay (+145). Gamblers are able to bet on the games total with odds listed at -110 for over 9 runs and -110 for under 9. The games runline odds sit at -150 for betting the Rays +1.5 runs and +130 for the Yankees -1.5 runs.

The Rays have gone 32-35 SU this year and are 35-31 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 3.5 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 2.9 units ATS. Tampa Bay has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 43-20 SU and 35-27 ATS. The teams gained 12.4 units for moneyline bettors and 6.6 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in all seven of them.

Yankees games have a 31-28-3 over/under record so far in 2018. Rays games have gone under 33 times, gone over 31 times and pushed on two occasions.

Blake Snell will get the start for the visiting Rays. The left-handed Snell is 8-3 with a 2.30 ERA and 89 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with five strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA against New York this year.

The Yankees are sending righty Domingo German (0-4, 5.32 ERA) to the mound. German has 53 strikeouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.27. German hasn’t faced the Rays yet this year and did not record a start against them in 2017.

Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.07 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 8.43 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.74, along with a WHIP of 1.20.

Rays hitters have slashed .255/.327/.394 on their way to 4.1 runs scored per game this year, including 4.3 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.8 per game over the teams last five contests (4-1 SU).

Tampa Bay’s hitters have been led by third baseman Matt Duffy and first baseman C.J. Cron. Duffy is slashing .313/.351/.409 with 65 hits, 18 RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Cron has a .251 average with 63 hits, 15 homers, 36 RBIs and 37 runs scored.

For the home team, New York’s pitchers have given up 4.0 runs per game overall this season. Its starting pitching staff has an ERA of 3.87, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.8. The bullpen has posted a solid ERA of just 2.96, a WHIP of 1.13 and a K/9 of 12.1. In 24 games against AL East foes, Yankees starters have an ERA of 4.19 and the bullpens ERA is 3.32.

The New York offense is putting up 5.4 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The teams hit .208/.269/.403 over its last five contests and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Aaron Judge and Miguel Andujar have led the Yankees batters this year. Judge is slashing .272/.394/.565 with 18 home runs, 46 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Andujar’s line sits at .304/.333/.541 with eight homers, 28 RBIs and 30 runs.

The Rays have lost 4.8 units and are 21-22 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 19 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Yankees have netted 7.9 units and are 10-9 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The overs hit in seven of those games, compared to 10 that went under the total.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – UNDER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in five of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • Tampa Bay has posted 18.6 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.8 over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 19 over their last 10.