Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Baltimore Orioles are set to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays at Oriole Park. The matchup will get underway at 1:05 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to Mid-Atlantic Sports Network.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Both teams have identical moneyline odds (-105) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs (-105 for the over and -115 for the under). The games runline odds sit at +140 for taking the Rays -1.5 runs and -160 for the Orioles +1.5.

The Orioles are 12-28 SU and 15-23 ATS. The team has lost 15.8 units for moneyline bettors and 8.7 units against the spread (ATS). Baltimore has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Rays have gone 16-21 SU this year and are 18-17 ATS. Overall, the teams lost 5.3 units for moneyline bettors in the seasons early going, but have gained 0.7 units ATS. Tampa Bay’s covered the spread only twice over its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.

Baltimore games have an 18-19-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Tampa Bay has an over/under record of 18-15-2.

Blake Snell will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The left-handed Snell is 4-2 with a 2.40 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made two starts against the Orioles in 2017, posting a 1-1 record against them with a 1.93 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Orioles are putting the ball in the hands of righty Dylan Bundy (1-5, 5.31 ERA), who’s got 48 strikeouts and 13 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.52. Bundy is 0-1 with four strikeouts and a 13.50 ERA over one starts against Tampa Bay this year.

Baltimore’s pitching staff has allowed 5.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. Its starters have a 5.65 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 15 games against AL East opponents, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.75 and the bullpens ERA is 3.75.

Baltimore’s offense has put up 3.9 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.8 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .270/.320/.552 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Manny Machado and outfielder Trey Mancini have led the Orioles offense this year. Machado is hitting .342/.426/.658 with 13 home runs, 36 RBIs and 22 runs scored, and Mancini is hitting .270 with five homers, 14 RBIs and 23 runs.

Machado performed well against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .300/.345/.588 across 87 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .260/.311/.473).

In the visiting dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.36 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 8.28 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.33, along with a K-per-9 of 8.85.

Rays hitters have slashed .264/.336/.402 on their way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over the teams last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Daniel Robertson and first baseman C.J. Cron have led Tampa Bay’s offense. Robertson is hitting .279/.436/.453 with 24 hits, nine RBIs and 16 runs scored, while Cron is hitting .282/.333/.486 with 40 hits, eight homers, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

Cron taken a step back when hitting righty pitching on the road last season, maintaining a slash line of .213/.244/.339 across 135 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .248/.305/.437).

The Rays have lost 5.5 units and are 9-13 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 12 of those games, compared to nine that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 5.2 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in seven of those games, as opposed to five that’ve gone under.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Orioles, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The Rays have hit six home runs in their last 10 games. The Orioles have hit 17 over their last 10.
  • Tampa Bay fielders have committed zero errors over their last five games, compared to five errors for Baltimore over its last five.