Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The Tampa Bay Rays will be taking on their divisional rival Baltimore Orioles at Camden Yards. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Odds

Oddsmakers have listed Tampa Bay (+125) as the underdog to Baltimore (-135). Bettors are able to wager on the game’s total with odds sitting at -120 for over 8 runs and even money (+100) for under 8. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the runline odds standing at Rays +1.5 runs (-170) and Orioles +-1.5 runs (+150).

The Orioles are only 6-18 SU and 8-15 ATS. They’ve lost 9.4 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.7 units against the spread (ATS). The Rays have gone 9-13 SU this year and are 11-10 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 5.8 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early part of the year, but have gained 1.6 units ATS.

Baltimore games have a 9-13-1 over/under record so far in 2018. Rays games have gone over 14 times, gone under seven times and pushed on zero occasions.

Chris Archer will get the nod for the visiting Rays. The right-handed Archer is 1-1 with a 6.59 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face Baltimore this year, but he made four starts against the Orioles in 2017, putting together a 2-2 record against them with a 5.91 ERA and 17 strikeouts.

The Orioles are planning to start righty Dylan Bundy (1-2, 1.42 ERA), who has 40 strikeouts and nine walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.11. Bundy made three starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 1-1 record in 2017, posting a 1-1 record with a 5.19 ERA.

Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.60 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.61 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.87, along with a K-per-9 of 8.42.

The Rays offense has slashed .257/.334/.385 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (5-0 SU).

Second baseman Daniel Robertson and second baseman Joey Wendle have led Tampa Bay’s hitters. Robertson is hitting .340/.500/.574 with 16 hits, five RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Wendle (.328/.400/.492) is up to 20 hits, eight RBIs and 11 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Baltimore’s pitching staff has yielded 5.5 runs per game overall this season. The team’s starters have a 5.24 ERA, 1.58 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.57 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. In 11 games against divisional foes, Orioles starters have an ERA of 5.77 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.24.

Baltimore’s offense is putting up 3.2 runs per contest, including 3.7 per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .169/.224/.305 over its last five contests and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.

Shortstop Manny Machado and left fielder Trey Mancini have led the Orioles’ batters this year. Machado is hitting .344/.430/.677 with eight home runs, 17 RBIs and 13 runs scored, while Mancini’s line sits at .271/.344/.400 with 23 hits, seven RBIs and 11 runs scored.

Compared to his overall season slash line of .260/.311/.473, Machado performed well against right-handed pitching at home last year, slashing .286/.355/.534 over 265 such plate appearances.

The Rays have lost 4.0 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Orioles have lost 6.2 units and are 5-10 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to 10 that went under.

Tampa Bay Rays at Baltimore Orioles Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Orioles, ATS Winner – Rays, O/U – OVER

Betting Trends

  • The under has cashed in just one of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
  • Baltimore has recorded 16.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 12.6 over its last five.
  • Both teams have hit 11 home runs over their last 10 games.