Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins Free Preview

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The Tampa Bay Rays will head north to Target Field to play the Minnesota Twins. Fox Sports North will be airing this AL matchup and the game gets underway at 8:10 p.m. ET.

Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins Odds

Each team is receiving identical odds (-105) if you are wanting to play the moneyline and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this night game at 9 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total currently stand at -125 for the over and +105 for the under. The game’s most recent runline odds sit at +140 for picking the Rays -1.5 runs and -160 for the Twins +1.5 runs.

The Rays are 45-33 SU and are 43-35 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 5.5 units ATS. The Twins, on the other hand, are 50-27 SU and 43-34 ATS. The team’s gained 18.3 units for moneyline bettors and 5.9 units ATS.

Minnesota games have had an over/under record of 39-33-5 so far in 2019. The Rays have been a good under bet with a total record of 31-42-5.

Left-hander Blake Snell will get the nod for the visiting Rays. Snell (4-6, 4.40 ERA) has racked up 101 strikeouts in 75.2 innings so far. This is his first outing against Minnesota this year. He did make two starts against the Twins in 2018, compiling a 1-1 record against them with a 3.60 ERA and eight strikeouts.

The Twins will put the ball in the right hand of Kyle Gibson (7-4, 4.18 ERA, 1.26 WHIP), who has 80 strikeouts and 22 walks this season. Gibson is 1-0 with three strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA in one start against Tampa Bay this year.

Minnesota’s pitchers have given up 4.4 runs per game overall in 2019 as a unit. The club’s starters have a 3.72 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 8.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.43 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Minnesota offense has produced 5.7 runs per contest, including 3.6 per game over its last 10 games and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .249/.306/.425 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

Shortstop Jorge Polanco and left fielder Eddie Rosario have led the Twins’ hitters this year. Polanco is slashing .326/.383/.542 with 11 home runs, 38 RBIs and 48 runs scored, and Rosario’s line is .269/.300/.518 with 20 homers, 57 RBIs and 49 runs scored.

In the other dugout, Tampa Bay’s pitchers have allowed 3.5 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 2.88 ERA, 1.05 WHIP and 10.00 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.60, along with a K/9 of 8.62.

The Rays offense has slashed .259/.333/.430 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game this season, including 4.1 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).

Tampa Bay’s offense has been fueled by outfielders Tommy Pham and Avisail Garcia. Pham is slashing .294/.401/.474 with 11 home runs, 33 RBIs, 36 runs and seven stolen bases, while Garcia (.294/.352/.477) is up to 11 homers, 35 RBIs, 36 runs and eight steals.

The Rays have lost 1.5 units and are 26-24 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 22 of those games, compared to 24 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Twins have netted 3.1 units and are 12-6 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 10 of those games, as opposed to six that’ve cashed the under.

Rays vs. Twins MLB Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Twins, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The under has cashed in four of Tampa Bay’s last seven games.
  • The Rays have a team OPS of .763 this season and an OPS of .772 when facing right-handed pitchers. The Twins’ OPS stands at .842 overall and .831 versus righties.
  • Tampa Bay has recorded 19.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.0 over its last five.
  • The Rays have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Twins have hit 15 over their last 10.