St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers Matchup

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals will head north to take on their NL Central nemesis Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing the matchup and the game is scheduled to get going at 2:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals at Milwaukee Brewers Odds

Oddsmakers are listing St. Louis (-115) as the favorite over Milwaukee (+105). The total sits at nine runs and bettors can take the over for +100 and the under for -120. You can also wager on the games spread with the current runline odds sitting at +130 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -150 for the Brewers +1.5 runs.

The Cardinals are 28-22 SU and are 23-26 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.5 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 4.3 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Brewers, on the other hand, are 34-20 SU and 32-21 ATS. The team has gained 15.2 units for moneyline bettors and 9.3 units ATS. Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.

Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 20-31-2 so far in 2018. The Cardinals have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 18-27-4.

Right-hander Luke Weaver is the projected starter for the visiting Cardinals. Weaver is 3-4 with a 4.31 ERA and 50 strikeouts. He has yet to face Milwaukee this year, but he made three starts against the team in 2017, putting together a 2-0 record with a 5.40 ERA and 22 strikeouts.

The Brewers are sending lefty Brent Suter (4-3, 4.56 ERA) to the mound. Suter has 42 punchouts and 12 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.31. Suter is 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 1.69 ERA over one starts against St. Louis this year.

Milwaukee’s pitching staff has allowed 3.7 runs per game overall this year as a unit. The teams starters have a 4.19 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.49, a WHIP of 1.12 and a K/9 of 10.2. In 23 games against divisional foes, Brewers starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpens ERA is 3.44.

The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, including 2.7 per game against divisional foes and 7.6 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .305/.394/.480 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.

Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the charge for the Brewers hitters this year. Cain is slashing .295/.401/.454 with six home runs, 16 RBIs, 35 runs and 11 stolen bases, while Yelich’s line sits at .305/.371/.467 with five homers, 23 RBIs and 30 runs.

In the visiting dugout, St. Louis pitching staff allowed 3.8 runs per game and its starters own a 3.02 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 8.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.24, along with a WHIP of 1.16 and a K/9 of 8.22.

Cardinals hitters have slashed .240/.320/.388 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.8 per game over the teams last five outings (2-3 SU).

First baseman Jose Martinez and left fielder Marcell Ozuna have led St. Louis hitters. Martinez is slashing .313/.382/.467 with five home runs, 31 RBIs and 20 runs scored, while Ozuna is slashing .265/.307/.344 with three homers, 23 RBIs and 19 runs scored.

Putting up a slash line of .474/.545/.895 across 44 such plate appearances, Martinez enjoyed batting against lefties on the road last season (compared to his total season slash line of .309/.379/.518).

The Cardinals have gained 3.4 units and are 8-4 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in five of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under against lefties. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 14.4 units and are 26-14 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 14 of those games, compared to 24 which went under the total.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers MLB Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Brewers, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The Brewers have won six of their last seven games SU.
  • Milwaukee has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.2 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 15 over their last 10.