St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Free Preview

Jose VasquezArticles, Baseball, MLB

The St. Louis Cardinals are paying a visit to Miami to take on the Marlins at Marlins Park. Fox Sports Midwest will be televising this NL matchup and the game gets going at 7:10 p.m. ET.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Odds

Miami (+135) is coming into this one as the underdog against St. Louis (-145) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at eight runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at +100 for the Cardinals -1.5 runs and -120 for the Marlins +1.5.

The Marlins are 58-54 against the spread (ATS), but just 46-66 straight up (SU). They’ve gained 1.5 units for moneyline bettors while earning 9.1 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the under has hit in five of those seven. The Cardinals are 57-54 SU and have gone 55-56 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 8.1 units for moneyline bettors and 4.2 units ATS. St. Louis is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 58-52-2 in 2018. The Cardinals have an over/under record of 53-54-4.

Luke Weaver is getting the start for the visiting Cardinals. The right-handed Weaver is 6-9 with a 4.75 ERA and 106 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Marlins this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.

The Marlins will turn to righty Dan Straily (4-5, 4.35 ERA), who’s got 80 strikeouts and 46 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.39. Straily only made one start against the Cardinals in 2017 (0-0, 1.29 ERA and five strikeouts across seven innings).

St. Louis’ pitchers have allowed 4.3 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.58 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 8.14 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.41, along with a K/9 of 8.35.

The Cardinals offense has slashed .249/.324/.405 on its way to 4.5 runs scored per game this year, including 4.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 5.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).

Outfielder Marcell Ozuna and third baseman Matt Carpenter continue to lead St. Louis’ hitters. Ozuna is slashing .265/.310/.389 with 13 home runs, 59 RBIs and 44 runs scored. Carpenter is hitting .283 with 28 homers, 59 RBIs and 73 runs scored.

In the home-team dugout, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.61, a WHIP of 1.34 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 5.13 ERA, 1.49 WHIP and 8.2 K/9.

Miami’s hitters are putting up 3.8 runs per outing, including 3.5 per game over its last 10 games and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .209/.254/.337 over its last five contests and is 0-5 SU during that span.

The Marlins’ hitters have been led by second baseman Starlin Castro and third baseman Brian Anderson. Castro is hitting .289/.335/.403 with eight home runs, 40 RBIs and 63 runs scored, and Anderson’s line is .284/.366/.420 with nine homers, 52 RBIs and 63 runs.

The Marlins have gained 3.7 units and are 40-42 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 42 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve hit the under against righties.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Miami Marlins Free MLB Tip

Predictions: SU Winner – Cardinals, ATS Winner – Cardinals, O/U – OVER

Betting Notes

  • The over has cashed in five of St. Louis’ last seven games.
  • The Cardinals have won three of their last four games SU.
  • St. Louis has recorded 24.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 26.8 over its last five.
  • The Cardinals have hit nine home runs in their last 10 games. The Marlins have hit seven over their last 10.